Part of: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
This prediction market covers the May 12 MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, resolving to the team that wins. PolySpotter is tracking $32,627 in smart money across 3 signals, with recent alerts highlighting elite bettors backing the Orioles. The market remains open if the game is postponed and is scheduled to resolve by May 19, 2026, after the game is completed.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,636.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
$656K-profit serial bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a strong long-term record is buying Yankees amid a notable pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor is up $656K lifetime across 327 resolved markets.
- They have traded 157 sports events with a 58% win rate, usually entering around coin-flip prices.
- The market is seeing a 16.8x volume spike before game time, adding momentum behind the Yankees buy.
$6,673 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 58%
99% winner backing Orioles
Elite sports bettor with a 99% tracked win rate and $361k profit is buying the Orioles despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 84 of 85 resolved bets and is up $361k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 130 events with a 99% win rate.
- Buying Baltimore at 45¢ implies they see value against the current market.
$3,000 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 99%
Profitable linked sports cluster
Three serial sports bettors, including a highly profitable $5.6M wallet, coordinated a linked $9.5K buy on Baltimore despite the market now pricing them lower.
- Three wallets bought Baltimore together for $9.5K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The lead wallet is up $5.6M lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved markets.
- Their 39¢ entry is now available around 34¢, offering a better price than the cluster paid.
$9,525 on Baltimore Orioles
89% winner buying Orioles
Sharp MLB bettor with an 89% long-term win rate and $721k profit is buying Orioles at 44¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $721k lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 39 events, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 44¢ implies they see Baltimore as meaningfully undervalued despite the Yankees being favored.
$1,508 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable bettor cluster
Three profitable high-volume sports bettors clustered on Yankees BUYs during a pre-game volume spike, with the largest entry already moving from 56¢ to 62¢.
- Three wallets bought the Yankees for $11.3k in the same direction before the game.
- The wallets are experienced and profitable, including one up $656k with a 58% win rate.
- The largest buy entered at 56¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.
$11,296 on New York Yankees
80% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 80% long-term win rate and strong profits bought Yankees at 57¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $232K lifetime.
- They have traded across 43 sports events with the same 80% hit rate.
- Entry at 57¢ suggests they see value in Yankees despite the market sitting near 56%.
$1,156 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 80%
Perfect-record sports sharp
Sharp wallet with a perfect 23/23 resolved record and $143k profit bought $9.1k of Yankees at 57¢, with serial cross-market success across 27 events.
- This bettor has won 23 of 23 resolved bets and is up $143,621 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with a perfect reported record.
- A $9,120 Yankees buy at 57¢ shows meaningful conviction despite a liquid market.
$9,120 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 100%
Elite 94% sports bettor
Elite high-volume sports wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and $515k lifetime profit is buying Baltimore at 41¢ despite the market pricing them around 42%.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $515k lifetime.
- They have traded across 665 events with $1.17M in cross-market volume, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying Baltimore at 41¢ implies they see value in the underdog side.
$3,393 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 94%
88% winner backing underdog
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate bought nearly $10k of Orioles at 39¢ despite Yankees being favored.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $725k lifetime.
- They have bet across 113 events with an 88% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $10k buy on Baltimore at 39¢ takes the underdog side for a potential 2.6x payout.
$9,965 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xf152...64aa — Outcome 13463071, $30,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 11663726, $26,513 (64% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 11663726, $25,551 (88% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 13463071, $13,433 (58% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 11663726, $10,876 (44% win rate)
- 0x0e64...336d — Outcome 11663726, $10,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x2f0b...5577 — Outcome 11663726, $8,683 (88% win rate)
- 0x6027...4320 — Outcome 11663726, $8,276 (94% win rate)
- 0xacb2...b989 — Outcome 11663726, $7,422 (46% win rate)
- 0xa9a6...0009 — Outcome 11663726, $7,000 (82% win rate)
