Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 quarterfinal between Spirit and G2 at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, scheduled for June 19, 2026. It resolves to Spirit if Spirit win the match, G2 if G2 win, or 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $10,552 in smart money across 1 signal, including sharp activity on the underdog and strong winner backing for Spirit.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Spirit and G2 in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 19 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,290.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Perfect-record sharp on underdog
A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 53-for-53 resolved record and $217,828 profit bought G2 at 27¢ as an underdog.
- This bettor has won 53 of 53 resolved bets and is up $217,828 lifetime.
- They bought G2 at 27¢ while the market prices Spirit as the clear favorite.
- Entry at 27¢ implies a nearly 3.7x payout if G2 wins.
$3,240 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 100%
16-hour repeat whale
A 16-hour-old wallet is repeatedly placing large bets and just put $10.6k on Spirit at 75¢ in a mid-liquidity esports market.
- This brand-new wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $20.4k.
- The bettor put $10.6k on Spirit at 75¢, a sizable position in a market with $56k total volume.
- Entry at 75¢ implies they are backing Spirit as a strong favorite, with room if the market moves toward them.
$10,552 on Spirit
Profitable serial underdog bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $630k lifetime P&L is taking the G2 underdog side despite only moderate alert severity.
- This bettor is up $630k lifetime across 433 resolved trades and has deployed $5.7M total.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 190 events with a 61% win rate.
- Buying G2 at 25¢ means they are backing the underdog for a potential 4x payout.
$2,412 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 61%
96% winner backing Spirit
Elite 96% winning bettor with $430k profit bought $5k of Spirit, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up $430k lifetime.
- They have traded across 216 events with a 96% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $5k buy was over 2.6x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quieter market.
$5,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite esports sharp on underdog
Elite 90% lifetime winner with $2.0M profit is buying G2 as an underdog in a thin CS2 market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 142 events with the same 90% hit rate.
- Their $2.1K G2 buy is larger than the market’s full 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin market.
$2,087 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x30c7...ac3b — G2, $32,944 (61% win rate)
- 0x6310...c0b1 — Spirit, $14,502
- 0x108d...b85d — G2, $12,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — G2, $12,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Spirit, $10,912 (62% win rate)
- 0x6902...b4ca — Spirit, $6,446 (96% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — G2, $6,393 (52% win rate)
- 0x8cbf...0eb4 — Spirit, $5,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x182d...73e9 — G2, $5,000 (39% win rate)
- 0x0257...22b2 — Spirit, $4,000 (47% win rate)
