Part of: Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Sinja Kraus
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Sinja Kraus
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,549.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial sports flow buyer
A very active cross-market sports trader bought into a sharp price breakout during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting momentum worth tracking despite only average historical edge.
- This wallet has placed bets across 552 markets and wins 63% of the time, showing repeat sports market activity at scale.
- The market saw a 31x volume spike and Karolina Pliskova jumped 35 points, so this buy is part of a strong momentum move.
- The bettor paid 90¢ in a liquid market, which signals confidence but leaves limited upside unless the price is still below 95¢.
$7,945 on Karolina Pliskova | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable new wallet swinging big
A 4-hour-old wallet with early profits made an $8.2k concentrated buy on a tennis market during a sharp volume and price move, suggesting strong conviction worth watching.
- This 4-hour-old wallet has already put up $17.6k across flagged bets and is up $3.0k so far.
- They bought $8.2k of Sinja Kraus at 67¢ in a single trade, showing concentrated conviction.
- This hit during a 14x volume spike and a 29-point market move, so the bet clearly moved with fast new information.
$8,165 on Sinja Kraus | Wallet win rate: 71%
3-wallet fade of favorite
Three wallets aggressively sold the market favorite at 83-89¢, driving a 29-point price drop amid a 14x volume spike, which looks like coordinated conviction on Pliskova rather than routine flow.
- Three wallets hit Sinja Kraus at 83-89¢ for $10.6k total and pushed her price down 29 points.
- This came during a 14.1x volume spike, suggesting fast consensus that the market was badly mispriced.
- One wallet is only 5 days old but has already made 16 other flagged bets, which adds to the conviction signal.
$10,627 on Karolina Pliskova
4-wallet sharp cluster
Four wallets piled into Sinja Kraus for $12.4k during a sharp volume spike and 17-point move, led by one extremely active 72% win-rate trader and a repeat new wallet.
- Four wallets bought Sinja Kraus at the same time for $12.4k, pushing the price up 17 points.
- One of the buyers wins 72% of resolved markets and has made about $6.2M profit across 3,315 bets.
- Entries from 55¢ to 72¢ are now marked at 80¢, showing this group moved early before the market repriced.
$12,356 on Sinja Kraus
$6.2M profit sports sharp
A highly proven sports trader with a 72% win rate and $6.2M profit is taking a fresh position on Sinja Kraus, making this worth watching despite only a single signal.
- This bettor has won 2,401 of 3,313 resolved trades and is up $6.2M lifetime
- They trade heavily across related events at scale, with over $8.0M tracked in 1,050 markets
- They bought Sinja Kraus at 55¢, slightly above the current 53¢ market price, showing fresh conviction rather than profit-taking
$1,456 on Sinja Kraus | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 47083659, $29,820 (73% win rate)
- 0x0a12...d3fe — Outcome 47083659, $2,433 (100% win rate)
- 0x64b1...f556 — Outcome 47083659, $2,221
- 0x5a84...e271 — Outcome 47083659, $2,130 (99% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 47083659, $1,822 (64% win rate)
- 0x8f76...aea6 — Outcome 47083659, $1,008 (80% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 47083659, $970
- 0xe611...b0b4 — Outcome 47083659, $856
- 0x2f26...0d8f — Outcome 47083659, $556
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 47083659, $457
