Part of: Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,791.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
New whale chasing draw momentum
High-composite alert from a brand-new repeat large bettor buying Yes into a major volume spike and sharp price move on an active soccer market.
- A 1-day-old wallet bought $9.4k of Yes and has now had $31.5k in flagged large bets.
- Yes has already moved from the trader’s 64¢ entry to 74¢ after a 48x volume spike.
- The market is highly active, with $1.19M traded in 24 hours and a 54-point upward move in Yes.
$9,429 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
Sharp contrarian No buyer
A highly proven sports/cross-market bettor sold Yes, equivalent to buying No at 40¢, alongside one-sided No flow despite the market moving toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $89.5k lifetime.
- Eight wallets are betting the same way on No, totaling nearly $19k in one-sided flow.
- The market has surged toward Yes, so No is now cheaper than this sharp bettor’s 40¢ effective entry.
$1,552 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
83% winner buying No
A highly proven cross-market bettor effectively bought No at 40¢, backed by broader one-sided No flow, though the market has since moved against the position.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $72,625 lifetime.
- The trade is effectively a 40¢ buy on No, now cheaper after the market moved against them.
- Eight wallets bought the same No side for about $19,000 during a major volume spike.
$1,337 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp sports cluster on No
A 14-wallet cluster including several highly profitable sports traders put $31.5k on the No side, though much of the flow appears to be sharp exits from prior Yes positions after a big price move.
- 14 wallets put $31.5k on No, with several long-term profitable sports bettors in the flow.
- One participant has won 92% of 1,328 resolved bets and is up $2.6M lifetime.
- Much of the activity is selling out of prior Yes positions after a large move, so this looks like a sharp exit or reversal rather than a clean fresh bet.
$31,534 on No
Profitable whales buying No
Three wallets bought the no-draw side for $18.3k, led by two highly profitable high-volume bettors, though the opposite side also saw notable flow.
- Two large, profitable bettors are on the no-draw side, with about $1.8M in combined lifetime profit.
- Three wallets put $18.3k behind the same No outcome, mostly at 67–68¢.
- Market volume is surging before the match, with activity running 21x above its historical average.
$18,274 on No
13-wallet draw surge
Strong one-sided Yes flow with sharp/profitable wallets, a major volume spike, and a large price move suggests informed positioning on a soccer market likely tied to late news.
- 13 wallets bought $42.8K of Yes as the market jumped from about 33¢ to 74¢.
- Several profitable bettors joined, including wallets with 83% and 84% win rates over hundreds of resolved trades.
- Volume spiked 28x above normal, suggesting a real late-news move rather than routine betting.
$42,830 on Yes
Profitable new repeat bettor
A new repeat bettor with early profits is buying the draw at 28¢, backed by a 6.0 new-wallet signal and $12.3k realized P&L.
- This new bettor has won all 3 resolved trades and is up $12.3k so far.
- The wallet has now been flagged 6 times, with $23.7k total in notable positions.
- Entry at 28¢ implies a high-upside draw bet if this bettor’s early edge continues.
$1,170 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
99% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 99% resolved win record bought No on the draw market at 73¢.
- This bettor has won 76 of 77 resolved positions and is up $92,783 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 82 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge.
- Entry at 73¢ means they are backing Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina not to draw despite a highly liquid market.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
87% winner buying draw
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and nearly $99k profit is buying the draw at 28¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $98,604 lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market track record across 42 sports events.
- Entry at 28¢ implies they see the draw as a meaningful mispricing.
$1,148 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
93% winner backs No draw
Elite sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $720k lifetime profit bought No on the draw market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $720k lifetime.
- They have traded across 906 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
- Bought No at 73¢, slightly above the 72% market price, showing confidence Canada vs. Bosnia will not draw.
$1,634 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 15998755, $258,353 (62% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 15998755, $39,999 (62% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 15998755, $37,452
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 15998755, $22,406 (76% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 15998755, $21,946 (55% win rate)
- 0x0e3a...55ba — Outcome 15998755, $20,560
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 15998755, $18,246
- 0x1624...bf63 — Outcome 15998755, $10,747 (61% win rate)
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 15998755, $9,790 (73% win rate)
- 0xe0db...f44e — Outcome 15998755, $6,000 (49% win rate)
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