Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,672.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor nailed 54¢ Yes
Sharp 82% winner bought Yes at 54¢ before the market moved to 100%, with supporting cross-market positioning and price impact.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $10.2K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 54¢ before it moved to 100%, a major validation of the read.
- They also positioned across 3 related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp cluster chasing Yes
High-scoring cluster with four wallets buying Yes, including a profitable sharp bettor, a serial cross-market trader, and a new profitable wallet, alongside a major price move.
- Four wallets put $7.3K on the same side, pushing Yes from roughly 45–54¢ to 70¢.
- One bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and another is up $347K lifetime across 386 resolved positions.
- A 4-day-old repeat whale has already been flagged 13 times and is up $7.9K early.
$7,256 on Yes
88% winner buys No
Sharp 88% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history bought No on the penalty shootout market, supported by a large price-impact signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $47k lifetime.
- They have traded 50 markets across 28 events, with the same 88% hit rate.
- Their $2.6k No buy came with a 27-point move, suggesting strong conviction.
$2,635 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp wallets buying No
Three wallets are buying No, including two highly profitable sports-style bettors with strong track records and a serial cross-market pattern.
- Two profitable bettors are on the same side, including one who wins 88% of bets and is up $47K lifetime.
- The lead wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with an 88% win record.
- Three wallets put $5.9K on No during a 37x volume spike, showing coordinated conviction.
$5,881 on No
Top Holders
- 0x6157...9fb4 — Outcome 25270522, $10,000 (92% win rate)
- 0xa569...08df — Outcome 25270522, $5,000 (35% win rate)
- 0x07ea...a6ba — Outcome 25270522, $4,342 (88% win rate)
- 0xc7ed...6c8b — Outcome 25270522, $4,102 (66% win rate)
- 0xf695...409f — Outcome 25270522, $3,400 (78% win rate)
- 0xeff8...68eb — Outcome 25270522, $3,331 (84% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 25270522, $2,335 (51% win rate)
- 0x145a...5e86 — Outcome 25270522, $1,484 (47% win rate)
- 0xe459...737d — Outcome 25270522, $1,200 (58% win rate)
- 0x9124...f819 — Outcome 25270522, $1,120 (97% win rate)
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