Part of: Seville: Tiago Pereira vs Marco Trungelliti
Seville: Tiago Pereira vs Marco Trungelliti
This Polymarket-style tennis market tracks whether Tiago Pereira or Marco Trungelliti advances in their Seville match, scheduled for September 8, 2026. The market has recorded $4,455 in tracked smart money across one signal, with recent activity favoring Marco Trungelliti; it resolves to the advancing player under the listed rules.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,338.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Large bettor drove a tennis repricing
A sizable two-trade position on Marco Trungelliti coincided with a 46.6x volume spike and a 22.2-point price surge, making this a notable sports-market momentum signal despite the wallet's mediocre win rate.
- The bettor put $4,455 on Marco Trungelliti, with the position now up from entries of 67¢ and 77¢ to roughly 78¢.
- Trading activity was 46.6 times the historical average, while Marco's price jumped 22.2 percentage points.
- The wallet has a large lifetime profit but only wins 54% of resolved bets, so the market move is more compelling than the track record.
$4,455 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp bettor leads three-wallet tennis cluster
Three wallets bought Marco Trungelliti, including a highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate, while the market moved from roughly 43-49% entries toward 56%.
- A bettor with an 81% win rate and $389,508 lifetime profit bought Marco Trungelliti.
- Three wallets put $6,190 on the same player, with entries as low as 43¢ before the market reached 56%.
- The lead bettor has a substantial history across 189 resolved markets, though two wallets were adding to existing positions.
$6,190 on Marco Trungelliti
Sharp bettor scaling into Marco
A proven high-volume bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Marco Trungelliti position at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of 189 resolved trades and is up $389,508 lifetime.
- They are adding $3,565 to an existing Marco Trungelliti position at 49¢, while the market is now around 52¢.
- The wallet has traded 183 markets across 182 events, indicating a substantial and repeatable betting history.
$3,565 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor scales into Marco
A highly successful serial bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding $4,127 to an existing Marco Trungelliti position at 57¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of trades across 80 resolved markets and is up $139,671.
- They are adding $4,127 to an existing Marco Trungelliti position, bringing total investment to roughly $11,383.
- The 57¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Marco currently trading near the same price.
$4,127 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 86%
99% winner bought Marco early
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate bought Marco Trungelliti at 49%, well below the current 62% market price.
- This bettor has won 1,215 of 1,233 resolved trades and earned $1.16M in profit.
- They bought Marco Trungelliti at 49%, while the market now prices him at 62%.
- The wallet has traded across 595 events and more than $2.2M in volume, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy.
$1,000 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 51800196, $9,249 (99% win rate)
- 0xd9dd...b525 — Outcome 51800196, $9,238 (49% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Outcome 51800196, $4,935 (54% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 51800196, $4,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xb077...8fe8 — Outcome 51800196, $2,429 (38% win rate)
- 0x528f...2101 — Outcome 51800196, $1,914 (52% win rate)
- 0x194f...3d95 — Outcome 51800196, $1,500 (46% win rate)
- 0xa50f...8e6f — Outcome 51800196, $1,347 (95% win rate)
- 0xf98d...384e — Outcome 51800196, $1,288 (84% win rate)
- 0x5965...935f — Outcome 51800196, $707 (65% win rate)
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