Part of: England vs. DR Congo
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $430,384.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
85% winner joined No flow
Sharp 85% winner exited Yes into a large coordinated No move, with 29 wallets and major price impact supporting the direction.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up about $46,989 lifetime.
- 29 wallets put $200,723 on the same No side, with linked-wallet overlap.
- Selling Yes at 56¢ is equivalent to buying No at 44¢ before Yes collapsed to 0¢.
$1,218 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
12-wallet No push
High-conviction one-sided No flow from 12 wallets totaling $96k, backed by sharp serial sports/event traders and a fresh large-betting wallet despite some opposing Yes activity.
- 12 wallets bought No for about $96k, a large coordinated bet against the draw.
- One trader in the flow has won 89% of 85 resolved bets, and another serial cross-market bettor has traded $2.2M across 89 events.
- A new wallet less than 1 day old has already placed $24k in flagged bets, adding to the conviction signal.
$96,199 on No
15-wallet draw surge
High-scoring soccer draw alert with 15 wallets buying the same side, a sharp bettor signal, and a major same-day price/volume surge despite meaningful two-way flow.
- 15 wallets put about $40K on the draw, mostly around 31–34¢.
- The market has jumped 18 percentage points today on a 10.9x volume spike.
- One flagged bettor has won 92% of 13 resolved positions, suggesting some sharp money is involved.
$54,994 on Yes
One-sided draw momentum
Four wallets pushed the draw price from about 19% to 28% amid a large pre-match volume spike, with one serial cross-market bettor showing a strong 74% historical hit rate.
- Four wallets all bought the draw, totaling $14.6K on the same side.
- The entry was around 19¢ and the market has already moved to 28¢, a 9-point jump.
- One participating bettor has traded 26 similar events with a 74% win rate.
$14,602 on Yes
85% sharp buys draw
A proven sharp soccer/cross-market bettor with an 85% record and $98k profit is buying the draw at 19¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $98,410 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 66 events and $445,629 traded.
- Buying at 19¢ implies they see the draw as mispriced despite a liquid market.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp 81% winner
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has an 81% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making even a modest liquid-market bet worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $3.9k lifetime.
- They have beaten average odds by a wide margin across 125 resolved bets.
- Buying No at 82¢ signals confidence England vs. DR Congo does not end in a draw.
$1,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
93% winner backs No
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $720k lifetime profit bought No on the draw market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $720,768 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader with 927 events tracked and $1.9M deployed.
- Entry at 82¢ suggests a lower-risk copy of a proven bettor’s view that England vs. DR Congo will not draw.
$1,369 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% winner backs No draw
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% record and strong lifetime profit bought No on the draw market despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved positions and is up about $182k lifetime.
- They have traded across 113 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 82¢ means they are backing England vs. DR Congo not ending in a draw.
$2,717 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable 75% bettor
Surfaced because the buyer has a proven 75% record across 36 resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L, even though this is only a modest-sized trade in a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 75% of 36 resolved bets and is up $4.3K lifetime.
- They are buying the draw at 19¢, implying a roughly 5x payout if England vs. DR Congo finishes level.
- The market is very liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s track record rather than trade size.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
New whale, unbeaten start
A 7-day-old repeat whale is adding a $32k No bet after 26 flagged large bets and a 7-for-7 resolved start, though the track record is still short.
- This new bettor has already made 26 large flagged bets totaling $287k in its first week.
- The wallet is 7-for-7 on resolved bets so far, a strong but still early track record.
- This is a $32k buy on No at 82¢, showing confidence that England vs. DR Congo does not end in a draw.
$32,163 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 69720115, $628,010 (98% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 20000089, $448,878
- 0x78c6...4710 — Outcome 69720115, $150,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 69720115, $108,885 (73% win rate)
- 0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 69720115, $100,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 69720115, $74,062 (47% win rate)
- 0xc57f...c909 — Outcome 69720115, $39,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xc289...ab37 — Outcome 69720115, $13,985 (97% win rate)
- 0xb715...c3bb — Outcome 69720115, $13,403 (100% win rate)
- 0x7c11...48ff — Outcome 69720115, $11,316 (88% win rate)
Related Theses
Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close
Covers 3 related markets
Spain Argentina or England wins
Covers 3 related markets
France Spain or Argentina win
Covers 3 related markets
Hanjin Brion avoids sweep
Covers 1 related market
