Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,684.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable 93% win-rate sports/esports bettor with activity across 118 related markets bought Aurora at 89¢ during a clear pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow signal despite the short price.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $107k across 353 settled bets
  • They have traded 118 markets across 85 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Aurora at 89¢ as match volume ran 20.6x above normal, reinforcing the favorite side

$7,064 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate and six-figure profit is backing Aurora, making this worth surfacing despite the modest alert score and routine market liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up $107k across 353 resolved bets
  • They have traded 117 markets across 85 events, so this looks like a repeatable sports betting edge
  • Bought Aurora at 88¢, a high-confidence favorite price that fits their history of winning on strong views

$1,636 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

99% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary 99% win rate and $153k in realized profit is buying Aurora at 74¢, making this a sharp-bettor signal worth following despite the modest stake.

  • This bettor wins 253 of 256 resolved trades and is up $153k lifetime
  • They bought Aurora at 74¢, implying they still see value even with the market already at 72-73¢
  • The signal comes from proven betting skill, not just trade size, in a liquid $102k match market

$1,984 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a8c...fd3d Outcome 76842398, $9,706 (54% win rate)
  2. 0x5d34...7c8c Outcome 76842398, $6,044 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x4337...8882 Outcome 76842398, $5,555 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x8fbb...9a17 Outcome 76842398, $5,000 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x0c4d...4dbc Outcome 76842398, $4,850
  6. 0x4574...273d Outcome 76842398, $4,424 (82% win rate)
  7. 0xbb64...bfdc Outcome 76842398, $4,412 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xbfee...ed1f Outcome 76842398, $3,161
  9. 0xad2b...f091 Outcome 76842398, $3,089 (94% win rate)
  10. 0x8310...8967 Outcome 76842398, $2,423 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$10,684 tracked3 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Aurora and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 23 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Heroic. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

20d ago

$7,064 on Aurora at 89¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

20d ago

$1,636 on Aurora at 88¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

20d ago

$1,984 on Aurora at 74¢

Related Theses