Part of: Genoa: Francesco Passaro vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Genoa: Francesco Passaro vs Juan Pablo Varillas
This prediction market covers the Genoa tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Juan Pablo Varillas, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled for September 17, 2026; the market currently tracks $10,599 in smart money across one signal.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,750.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial bettor scaling into Passaro
A serial sports trader added $10.6K to an existing Passaro position during an exceptionally large 762x volume spike, with the market moving from 62¢ to 66¢.
- The wallet added $10,599 to an existing position, bringing its total Passaro investment to about $27,800.
- Trading volume was 762 times the historical average, and Passaro's price has risen from 62¢ to 66¢ since entry.
- The bettor has traded 77 events and is up $24,566 overall, though its 58% win rate indicates moderate rather than elite performance.
$10,599 on Francesco Passaro | Wallet win rate: 57%
Serial bettor scales into Varillas
A highly active, profitable tennis trader added $13,981 to an existing Varillas position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This trader has won 71% of 746 resolved bets and is up $125,768 lifetime.
- They added $13,981 to an existing Varillas position, bringing their total investment in the outcome to over $39,000.
- The market saw a 1,318x historical volume spike, while Varillas moved from 55¢ to 57¢ after the entry.
$13,981 on Juan Pablo Varillas | Wallet win rate: 71%
Elite bettor buys the dip
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.26M profit made a fresh $2,100 contrarian buy on Passaro despite a sharp price decline.
- This bettor has won 93% of 2,633 resolved positions and earned $2.26M in profit.
- They placed a fresh $2,100 buy on Francesco Passaro at 49%, despite the price later falling to 42%.
- The wallet has traded across 637 events, indicating extensive and consistent market experience.
$2,100 on Francesco Passaro | Wallet win rate: 93%
71% winner scaling into Varillas
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate is adding to a large Varillas position at 37¢ despite the market pricing him at 36%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 455 resolved trades and is up $285,442 lifetime.
- The $2,871 purchase adds to an existing $7,785 Varillas position, showing substantial conviction.
- The entry at 37¢ implies roughly a 2.7x payout if Varillas advances, while the market currently prices him near 36%.
$2,871 on Juan Pablo Varillas | Wallet win rate: 71%
99% winner adds to Passaro
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Passaro position in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 123 of 124 resolved trades, with nearly $97,000 in lifetime profit.
- The wallet is adding $1,200 to an existing Passaro position despite the market’s recent 12.5% rise.
- The trade represents over twice the market’s 24-hour volume, making the conviction notable in this relatively quiet market.
$1,200 on Francesco Passaro | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 17464427, $90,631 (65% win rate)
- 0xd0e4...34dc — Outcome 17464427, $21,725
- 0x9c68...247a — Outcome 17464427, $20,313 (47% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Outcome 17464427, $6,467 (93% win rate)
- 0x4699...5051 — Outcome 17464427, $2,760 (11% win rate)
- 0x9f55...2181 — Outcome 17464427, $2,044 (43% win rate)
- 0xb00c...dfa2 — Outcome 17464427, $1,887 (99% win rate)
- 0x77f9...feaf — Outcome 17464427, $1,684 (42% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Outcome 17464427, $1,584 (52% win rate)
- 0x2449...7a8c — Outcome 17464427, $1,425
