Part of: National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkina

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,991.

Notable Trades

Sharp serial bettor backs Kasatkina

A proven high-volume bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,000 bet on Daria Kasatkina despite the market moving against the position.

This bettor wins 77% of 510 resolved bets and is up $355,870 lifetime.
The wallet has traded 232 markets across 189 events, showing a deep and repeatable betting history.
A fresh $1,000 position on Kasatkina at 49¢ stands out because the market has since fallen to 40¢.

$1,483 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp bettor joins three-wallet Kasatkina cluster

Three wallets, including a highly profitable 77% winner, added to Daria Kasatkina exposure despite the market moving sharply against them.

Three wallets committed $4,482 to Daria Kasatkina, including one bettor with a 77% win rate across 512 resolved markets.
The strongest wallet has earned $356,670 and typically beats market-implied odds by a wide margin.
These trades added to existing Kasatkina positions, while her price has since fallen from 59–68¢ to 33¢—a high-conviction but now adverse position.

$5,481 on Daria Kasatkina

Sharp serial bettor backs Kasatkina

A proven high-volume bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,000 bet on Daria Kasatkina despite the market moving against the position.

This bettor wins 77% of 510 resolved bets and is up $355,870 lifetime.
The wallet has traded 232 markets across 189 events, showing a deep and repeatable betting history.
A fresh $1,000 position on Kasatkina at 49¢ stands out because the market has since fallen to 40¢.

$1,111 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp serial bettor backs Kasatkina

A proven high-volume bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,000 bet on Daria Kasatkina despite the market moving against the position.

This bettor wins 77% of 510 resolved bets and is up $355,870 lifetime.
The wallet has traded 232 markets across 189 events, showing a deep and repeatable betting history.
A fresh $1,000 position on Kasatkina at 49¢ stands out because the market has since fallen to 40¢.

$1,111 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 74%

93% winner scaling into Xinyu

A proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge added to an existing Xinyu Wang position, though the trade is currently underwater.

This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved positions, with a $12,276 profit and average entry odds of 55%.
They committed another $2,521 to Xinyu Wang while already holding $5,246, signaling continued conviction.
Xinyu Wang has since fallen to 62% from the bettor’s 76% entry, so the position is notable but not yet validated.

$2,521 on Xinyu Wang | Wallet win rate: 94%

Coordinated flow from serial winner

Three wallets committed $8,822 to Xinyu Wang in a low-volume market, with the flow followed by a 28-point price rise and participation from a serial cross-market trader with an 88% win rate.

Three wallets bought Xinyu Wang for $8,822—nearly four times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
A serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate is among the buyers across 311 events.
The market moved from roughly 50% to 78%, while purchases were made between 73¢ and 80¢; one wallet is adding to an existing position.

$9,284 on Xinyu Wang

Sharp serial bettor backs Kasatkina

A proven high-volume bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,000 bet on Daria Kasatkina despite the market moving against the position.

This bettor wins 77% of 510 resolved bets and is up $355,870 lifetime.
The wallet has traded 232 markets across 189 events, showing a deep and repeatable betting history.
A fresh $1,000 position on Kasatkina at 49¢ stands out because the market has since fallen to 40¢.

$1,000 on Daria Kasatkina | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

0x92f8...ce81 — Outcome 80993221, $23,812 (92% win rate)
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 80993221, $13,205 (60% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 80993221, $8,001 (65% win rate)
0x9b04...71c0 — Outcome 80993221, $5,461 (94% win rate)
0xc82a...6d00 — Outcome 80993221, $5,000
0x4763...0e22 — Outcome 80993221, $1,028
0x3131...91cd — Outcome 80993221, $875 (81% win rate)
0xdeb6...32b5 — Outcome 80993221, $861 (80% win rate)
0xd928...705f — Outcome 80993221, $851 (81% win rate)
0x3679...492e — Outcome 80993221, $838 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

PARIVISION wins a close five-game series

Covers 5 related markets

Dplus wins series after split games

Covers 3 related markets

Magdalena Frech will upset Pegula

Covers 1 related market

Split maps: Spirit first, Liquid second

Covers 2 related markets

Ground Zero Gaming wins series

Covers 1 related market

National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkina

ResolvedNational Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkina$21,991 tracked7 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Daria Kasatkina in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Xinyu Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Daria Kasatkina”

102¢

63¢

25¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction