What is the TheMongolz vs Team Falcons Map 2 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which team will win Map 2 of the Counter-Strike match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons at the PGL Astana Group Stage.

How does this Polymarket market resolve?

The market resolves to “TheMongolz” if TheMongolz win Map 2, or “Team Falcons” if Team Falcons win Map 2. If the match starts and Map 2 is completed with a winner, the market resolves based on that Map 2 result.

When is TheMongolz vs Team Falcons Map 2 scheduled to resolve?

The listed resolution date is May 12, 2026 at 13:45 UTC. The match was initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00 AM ET, and resolution depends on the official Map 2 result.

What smart money activity is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter tracks $11,136 in smart money on this market across 4 signals. Recent alerts include profitable esports bettors piling in, one-sided flow, and activity from a profitable serial esports bettor.

Why follow prediction market odds for TheMongolz vs Falcons?

Prediction market odds can show how traders are pricing each team’s chance to win Map 2 in real time. Smart money signals may help highlight when experienced esports bettors are taking a strong position.

Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in their Counter-Strike PGL Astana Group Stage Round 4 match. It resolves to the team that wins Map 2, with $11,136 in smart money tracked across 4 signals, including recent profitable esports bettor activity.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,048.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial esports trader nailed move

Serial cross-market sports/esports trader bought TheMongolz at 63¢ before the market moved to 100%, showing strong timing despite negative lifetime P&L.

This wallet has traded 153 related markets across 144 events, with a 71% hit rate on resolved bets.
They bought TheMongolz at 63¢ just before the price jumped to 100%.
The move was fast: TheMongolz rose 16 points in under a minute after this trade.

$3,500 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable esports flow

Three wallets, including a highly profitable high-volume trader, bought Team Falcons against a sharp price move, though the entry is now far worse after the market reversed.

A high-volume bettor in this cluster is up $2.24M lifetime across 27,200 resolved trades.
Three wallets took the same Team Falcons side for $4.7K while the market was moving fast.
The original entries were around 54–55¢, but Team Falcons is now 22¢, so this is only attractive if the price rebound thesis still holds.

$4,712 on Team Falcons

Elite 92% winner

Elite 92% lifetime winner with $2.29M profit bought TheMongolz despite the market later moving against the entry, making the wallet track record the core signal.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.29M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 324 events with $3.66M in tracked activity.
They bought TheMongolz at 90¢, though the market has since fallen to 78¢.

$1,433 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial trader fading move

A highly active profitable cross-market sports/esports trader sold TheMongolz after a rapid upward move, effectively backing Team Falcons at 57¢.

This bettor is up $142K lifetime across more than 2,300 resolved trades.
They trade across many related sports markets, with 191 events and $452K flagged in cross-market activity.
Selling TheMongolz at 43¢ after a fast 16-point move is effectively a Team Falcons buy at 57¢.

$1,491 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable esports bettors piling in

Three wallets bought $7.5k of TheMongolz together, led by high-volume profitable esports bettors and a repeat new wallet, causing a fast 16-point move.

Two active bettors with long records are on this side, including one up $262k across 1,847 resolved trades.
Three wallets bought TheMongolz together for $7.5k around 50–51¢, pushing the price to 56¢ within minutes.
One buyer is a 19-hour-old repeat large bettor with $22k already flagged across 4 positions.

$7,472 on TheMongolz

Profitable esports cluster

Three wallets bought Team Falcons for nearly $9.8k, including a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor and a 2-day-old repeat large bettor already up $6.5k, amid a major pre-event volume spike.

Three wallets put $9.8k on Team Falcons, creating strong one-sided flow in a tight 50/50 market.
One buyer is a 2-day-old repeat large bettor already up $6.5k across early positions.
Another buyer is a high-volume serial trader with $2.25M lifetime profit and 102 prior event trades.

$9,781 on Team Falcons

New wallet joins one-sided flow

High composite alert from a 19-hour-old repeat large bettor joining coordinated TheMongolz buying, with volume spike and rapid price move corroborating the flow.

A 19-hour-old wallet has already placed 7 flagged large bets totaling $22k.
Four wallets bought the same side, adding $11.4k of one-way flow on TheMongolz.
The market saw a 31x volume spike and TheMongolz jumped 16 points in under a minute.

$2,500 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 50%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Sharp high-volume esports bettor with strong lifetime profit joined one-sided flow that moved TheMongolz sharply at even odds.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,847 resolved bets and $262k in lifetime profit.
Four wallets bought the same side for $11.4k, pushing TheMongolz up 16 points in under a minute.
Entry at 50¢ implies they are taking TheMongolz as an even-money edge.

$3,375 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial bettor joins cluster

Serial cross-market sports/esports bettor with positive P&L joined one-sided TheMongolz flow during a sharp pre-event volume and price spike.

This bettor has a long track record: 374 resolved bets, 59% wins, and about $28.7K profit.
Four wallets bought TheMongolz the same way, totaling $11.4K in one-sided flow.
The market saw a 31x volume spike and TheMongolz jumped 16 points in under a minute.

$1,597 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable new esports whale

A 2-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large bets bought Team Falcons during a major pre-event volume spike.

This 2-day-old bettor is already up $6,460 and has won all 3 resolved bets.
They have now made 6 flagged large bets totaling $13,279, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
Market volume spiked 216x before the match, and this wallet bought Team Falcons at 55¢.

$2,500 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%