Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko
This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Anna Kalinskaya and Jelena Ostapenko, scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves based on which player advances, with final resolution expected by May 18, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money across 1 signal, including recent alerts showing one-sided tennis flow and sharp bettor activity.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,580.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A massive-volume serial cross-market sports trader with positive lifetime P&L bought Ostapenko at 90¢ during a sharp pre-event move, though the market has since pulled back to 78¢.
- This bettor has traded nearly 39,000 resolved markets and is up about $559k lifetime.
- They bought Ostapenko at 90¢ during an 18.5-point rapid move and a 14.9x volume spike.
- The market has pulled back to 78¢, giving a cheaper entry than the trader’s 90¢ buy.
$2,000 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports trader
Highly profitable serial tennis trader bought the underdog amid a major pre-event volume surge and sharp price move, though size is modest and this may be a re-entry after prior closed positions.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 73% wins across 4,749 resolved trades and $7.7M lifetime profit.
- They bought Anna Kalinskaya at 19¢ after heavy market movement, implying a high-upside underdog view.
- Market activity spiked 17.6x before the match, with Anna’s price moving sharply in minutes.
$1,932 on Anna Kalinskaya | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader bought Ostapenko as the market saw a sharp pre-match volume spike and rapid price move in the same direction.
- This bettor is up $12.2K across 74 resolved bets and has traded 54 events.
- Ostapenko jumped 18.5 percentage points in about 4 minutes alongside this buying.
- Market volume is 17.6x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match momentum behind the move.
$2,915 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable serial sports trader
Experienced profitable trader bought Jelena Ostapenko amid a major pre-match volume surge and sharp price move in the same direction.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 39,384 resolved bets and $558k in lifetime profit.
- Money is moving the same way, with a 32.9x volume spike and Ostapenko’s price up 15 points.
- They entered at 88¢ and the market has already moved to 92¢, showing immediate confirmation.
$2,368 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable tennis whale
High-volume serial cross-market bettor with $2.1M lifetime profit bought Ostapenko at 90% amid a pre-event volume spike and price move.
- This bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across more than $172M invested, with a huge sample of resolved bets.
- They bought nearly $4.9K of Ostapenko at 90¢ as the market moved up to 92¢.
- The market saw a 32.9x volume spike and a 15-point move toward Ostapenko.
$4,862 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial trader flipped sides
Highly profitable serial sports bettor flipped into Ostapenko amid a major volume spike and immediate price move from 76% to 84%.
- This bettor has won 73% of 4,749 resolved bets and is up $7.7M lifetime.
- They closed a Kalinskaya position and bought Ostapenko at 76%, now trading around 84%.
- Market activity surged 45x above normal with Ostapenko moving sharply upward.
$1,240 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp bettor riding coordinated flow
Sharp profitable tennis bettor bought Ostapenko at 55¢ alongside a 5-wallet one-sided flow and heavy pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $21.7K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $15.6K, with volume spiking 113x above normal.
- They entered Ostapenko at 55¢ and the market has already moved to 64¢.
$1,470 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor joins 5-wallet flow
Sharp profitable wallet sold Kalinskaya, effectively backing Ostapenko, alongside a 5-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $764k lifetime.
- Five wallets are backing the same side, totaling $15.6k on Ostapenko.
- Market volume is 113x above normal, with Kalinskaya down 10 points over the past day.
$3,101 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp one-sided tennis cluster
High-conviction Ostapenko buying from four wallets is backed by a sharp 84% winner, a very profitable 73% serial trader, and a 165x pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 84% of resolved trades bought into this side and is up $21.7k lifetime.
- Another wallet in the cluster has a 73% record across 4,747 resolved bets and is up $7.7M.
- Four wallets bought $11.3k the same way as volume spiked 165x before the match.
$11,314 on Jelena Ostapenko
One-sided tennis flow
Three wallets put $13.2K on Anna Kalinskaya amid a 65x pre-match volume spike, including two long-history profitable bettors.
- Three wallets all backed Anna Kalinskaya for $13.2K in the same scan window.
- This market saw a 65x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.
- Two participating wallets are profitable lifetime, including one up $2.1M across 26,770 resolved bets.
$13,159 on Anna Kalinskaya
Top Holders
- 0xfb85...8464 — Outcome 11042484, $35,351 (78% win rate)
- 0x6b91...06c4 — Outcome 11042484, $8,013 (94% win rate)
- 0xd735...968e — Outcome 11042484, $6,787 (51% win rate)
- 0x256b...cd5d — Outcome 11042484, $4,508 (56% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11042484, $2,641 (73% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 11042484, $2,150 (30% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 11042484, $2,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x49c8...3c52 — Outcome 11042484, $1,991
- 0x1da3...2f94 — Outcome 11042484, $1,600 (86% win rate)
- 0x15e9...26be — Outcome 11042484, $1,200
