Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

This Polymarket prediction market covers the League of Legends LPL Group Ascend best-of-three match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas, scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, unresolved delays beyond 7 days, or a tie handled under the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,500 in smart money across 1 signal, including sharp underdog buying activity.

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,261.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

10-wallet coordinated Top Esports buy

A high-conviction 10-wallet cluster bought $21.8k of Top Esports at 71¢, backed by repeated linked-wallet patterns, a major volume spike, and several profitable small-sample wallets.

  • 10 wallets all bought Top Esports within minutes, totaling $21.8k at 71¢.
  • Several wallet groups share funders, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the same side.
  • This market saw a 155x volume spike, and multiple wallets in the cluster are already profitable on prior resolved bets.

$21,761 on Top Esports

87% winner on underdog

Sharp esports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history is taking the underdog Ninjas in Pyjamas at 33¢ in a relatively small market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $42.4K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 34 events traded with the same 87% win rate.
  • The $1.5K buy is large for this market, equal to about 64% of recent 24h volume.

$1,500 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp underdog buyer

Sharp wallet with an 82% historical win rate and strong profit is buying the 30¢ underdog in a relatively quiet esports market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $163,764 lifetime.
  • They bought the 30¢ underdog in a market with only $2,339 traded in the last 24 hours.
  • Entry at 30¢ implies they see Ninjas in Pyjamas as a mispriced ~3.3x payout.

$1,000 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $25,000 (86% win rate)
  2. 0xef26...05ba Ninjas in Pyjamas, $4,750 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x34a5...9450 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $4,580 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x4b59...3aa6 Top Esports, $4,152 (61% win rate)
  5. 0x3eee...c8f9 Top Esports, $4,083 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xa565...0892 Top Esports, $3,927 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x6f77...3b9e Top Esports, $3,540 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x154b...0ffb Top Esports, $3,522 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x1d02...b538 Top Esports, $3,372 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x76fc...5095 Top Esports, $3,022 (100% win rate)

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Ninjas in Pyjamas upset Top Esports

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LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

14hLoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$24,261 tracked3 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Top Esports
71¢
Ninjas in Pyjamas
30¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Top Esports
73¢
68¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

7h ago

$21,761 on Top Esports at 71¢

71¢71¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

20h ago

$1,500 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 33¢

33¢30¢3¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

20h ago

$1,000 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 30¢

30¢30¢

Related Theses