Part of: England vs. Croatia - More Markets
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,080.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
78% winner caught Over
Sharp profitable sports bettor bought Over before a major 44-point move to 100%, supported by a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $35.6k lifetime.
- They bought $4.6k of Over at 82¢ before it moved to 100¢.
- Market activity surged 26.7x normal volume alongside a 44-point price jump.
$4,590 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
93% winner in Under cluster
A highly profitable 93% winner is buying Under alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-event volume surge.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $37.7K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 46 events, with $87K tracked and the same 93% win rate.
- Six wallets are all buying Under, totaling $16.3K, during a 14x pre-event volume spike.
$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 93%
New whale joins Under cluster
High composite alert from a very new repeat large bettor plus 6-wallet one-sided Under flow, though this specific trade may partly be Over profit-taking.
- A 2-day-old wallet has now been flagged 8 times with about $22K in notable bets and is slightly profitable so far.
- Six wallets are all leaning Under in the same market, totaling $16.3K of one-sided flow.
- This trade effectively backs Under at 60¢, fading a market where Over has jumped about 27 points in the last day.
$4,376 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%
4-wallet Over push
Coordinated 4-wallet buying on Over, including a brand-new wallet, coincided with a sharp pre-game volume spike despite this specific entry moving against the bettor.
- Four wallets bought the same Over side for $6.5k total, showing coordinated conviction.
- Market volume spiked to 20.9x its normal pace before the match.
- This wallet is only 20 hours old and put $1.36k on Over, though its 41¢ entry is now below market at 34¢.
$1,357 on Over | Wallet win rate: 0%
Profitable wallets chase Over
Coordinated Over buying is worth surfacing because it came alongside a major volume spike, a 27-point price move, and includes two profitable high-volume wallets, though there is also larger opposing Under flow.
- Two profitable high-volume bettors joined the Over side, including one up $1.09M lifetime and another up $115K.
- Over was bought around 38–41¢ before the market moved to 50¢, signaling early conviction before a sharp price jump.
- This market saw a 14x volume spike and a 27-point one-day move, though there is also heavier Under buying on the other side.
$3,665 on Over
Sharp cluster buying Under
High-conviction Under flow from 9 wallets is supported by a 93% winning bettor, linked-wallet activity, and a repeat new-wallet whale despite some opposing Over buying.
- A bettor who wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $37.7K bought Under at 64¢.
- Nine wallets put $25K on Under, including a sell of Over that is equivalent to buying Under around 60¢.
- Six linked wallets share the same funder, and volume is running about 21x above normal.
$25,092 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x9243...658e — Outcome 80200912, $149,999 (91% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 80200912, $20,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x7cd9...9d8b — Outcome 80200912, $14,560
- 0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 80200912, $10,574 (74% win rate)
- 0xc23d...82c8 — Outcome 80200912, $9,792 (90% win rate)
- 0x6d4e...6478 — Outcome 80200912, $9,221 (53% win rate)
- 0xb9c7...da49 — Outcome 80200912, $8,003 (67% win rate)
- 0xb7f2...8bc3 — Outcome 80200912, $6,589 (70% win rate)
- 0x564f...d93b — Outcome 80200912, $6,250 (53% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 80200912, $6,209 (65% win rate)
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