Part of: England vs. Croatia - More Markets

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,080.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

78% winner caught Over

Sharp profitable sports bettor bought Over before a major 44-point move to 100%, supported by a volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $35.6k lifetime.
  • They bought $4.6k of Over at 82¢ before it moved to 100¢.
  • Market activity surged 26.7x normal volume alongside a 44-point price jump.

$4,590 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%

93% winner in Under cluster

A highly profitable 93% winner is buying Under alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-event volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $37.7K lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market record across 46 events, with $87K tracked and the same 93% win rate.
  • Six wallets are all buying Under, totaling $16.3K, during a 14x pre-event volume spike.

$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 93%

New whale joins Under cluster

High composite alert from a very new repeat large bettor plus 6-wallet one-sided Under flow, though this specific trade may partly be Over profit-taking.

  • A 2-day-old wallet has now been flagged 8 times with about $22K in notable bets and is slightly profitable so far.
  • Six wallets are all leaning Under in the same market, totaling $16.3K of one-sided flow.
  • This trade effectively backs Under at 60¢, fading a market where Over has jumped about 27 points in the last day.

$4,376 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%

4-wallet Over push

Coordinated 4-wallet buying on Over, including a brand-new wallet, coincided with a sharp pre-game volume spike despite this specific entry moving against the bettor.

  • Four wallets bought the same Over side for $6.5k total, showing coordinated conviction.
  • Market volume spiked to 20.9x its normal pace before the match.
  • This wallet is only 20 hours old and put $1.36k on Over, though its 41¢ entry is now below market at 34¢.

$1,357 on Over | Wallet win rate: 0%

Profitable wallets chase Over

Coordinated Over buying is worth surfacing because it came alongside a major volume spike, a 27-point price move, and includes two profitable high-volume wallets, though there is also larger opposing Under flow.

  • Two profitable high-volume bettors joined the Over side, including one up $1.09M lifetime and another up $115K.
  • Over was bought around 38–41¢ before the market moved to 50¢, signaling early conviction before a sharp price jump.
  • This market saw a 14x volume spike and a 27-point one-day move, though there is also heavier Under buying on the other side.

$3,665 on Over

Sharp cluster buying Under

High-conviction Under flow from 9 wallets is supported by a 93% winning bettor, linked-wallet activity, and a repeat new-wallet whale despite some opposing Over buying.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $37.7K bought Under at 64¢.
  • Nine wallets put $25K on Under, including a sell of Over that is equivalent to buying Under around 60¢.
  • Six linked wallets share the same funder, and volume is running about 21x above normal.

$25,092 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0x9243...658e Outcome 80200912, $149,999 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 80200912, $20,000 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x7cd9...9d8b Outcome 80200912, $14,560
  4. 0x8806...2e83 Outcome 80200912, $10,574 (74% win rate)
  5. 0xc23d...82c8 Outcome 80200912, $9,792 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x6d4e...6478 Outcome 80200912, $9,221 (53% win rate)
  7. 0xb9c7...da49 Outcome 80200912, $8,003 (67% win rate)
  8. 0xb7f2...8bc3 Outcome 80200912, $6,589 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x564f...d93b Outcome 80200912, $6,250 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 80200912, $6,209 (65% win rate)

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England Croatia stays low scoring

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Hurricanes Knights stay under

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Switzerland won't win Group B

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Brewers beat the Rockies

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Braves beat the Giants

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England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

ResolvedEngland vs. Croatia - More Markets$41,080 tracked6 signalsFIFA World CupSportsSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Croatia, scheduled for June 17 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if England and Croatia combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Croatia
CRO
2
World Cup
Full Time
England
ENG
4
ENG 1/250CRO 300/1
Venue
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Attendance
70,389
Price History — “Over
102¢
62¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

2h ago

$4,590 on Over at 82¢

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

3h ago

$2,000 on Under at 64¢

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

3h ago

$4,376 on Under at 60¢

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

3h ago

$1,357 on Over at 41¢

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

3h ago

$3,665 on Over at 39¢

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

3h ago

$25,092 on Under at 66¢

Related Theses