Part of: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures close on May 26, 2026 will be higher or lower than the most recent prior trading day’s close. PolySpotter is tracking $1,903 in smart money activity, with recent high-win-rate trader alerts showing buying on Down. The market resolves after the official May 26 close data is available, with resolution scheduled for 21:00 UTC.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 26, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 26, 2026, is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session on the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,713.

Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Oil, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying Down

Three wallets pushed $15.4k into Down on WTI, including a 90% winner and a profitable high-volume cross-market trader, with the price already moving sharply toward their side.

  • A 90% winner is backing Down here and is up $13.6k on 10 resolved positions.
  • Three wallets put $15.4k on the same side, taking Down from roughly coin-flip levels to 70%.
  • One wallet has traded 43 related events and is up $143.8k lifetime across $2.8M invested.

$15,375 on Down

90% winner buying Down

Sharp wallet with a 90% record and strong profit is buying Down at 42¢ in a liquid WTI daily market.

  • This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets and is up $13.6K lifetime.
  • They are buying Down at 42¢ while the market has moved sharply toward Up over the last day.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see a roughly 2.4x payout opportunity if WTI closes lower.

$1,903 on Down | Wallet win rate: 90%

87% winner buying Down

A highly proven cross-market trader with an 87% win rate and +$214k P&L made a sizable BUY Down bet equal to 67.5% of the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $214k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 163 events with over $5.1M traded.
  • This $6.4k Down bet is large for the market, equal to 67.5% of the last 24h volume.

$6,435 on Down | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4060...3ec3 Down, $16,100 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x6b08...bb8e Up, $14,250 (54% win rate)
  3. 0xa540...0b43 Down, $13,210 (41% win rate)
  4. 0x8c46...d64d Down, $11,569 (90% win rate)
  5. 0x5f45...a77a Down, $6,461 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xaa98...90bb Up, $6,131 (51% win rate)
  7. 0xe864...ce58 Up, $3,007
  8. 0x3657...6cd3 Up, $3,000
  9. 0xfdfc...288c Down, $2,500
  10. 0xe54d...fdec Up, $2,296 (81% win rate)

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WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

9hWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?$23,713 tracked3 signalsFinanceCommoditiesDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceOilRewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Up
22¢
Down
79¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 26, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 26, 2026, is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session on the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “Down
94¢
70¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

56m ago

$15,375 on Down at 50¢

50¢79¢29¢

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

3h ago

$1,903 on Down at 42¢

42¢79¢37¢

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

9h ago

$6,435 on Down at 43¢

43¢79¢36¢

Related Theses