Part of: Mexico vs. Serbia

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,055.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Profitable veteran sports bettor

Surfaced due to a highly experienced profitable sports bettor buying Mexico despite only a modest price-impact signal.

This bettor has 1,014 resolved trades, wins 82% of them, and is up about $4.1K lifetime.
They bought Mexico at 89¢ as the market has moved strongly toward Yes, up 12 points today.
The market is liquid, so this is more of a proven-bettor follow than a thin-market information signal.

$1,795 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

88% winning sports sharp

Surface because this is a highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% record and $1.35M lifetime profit buying No despite only modest trade size.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $1.35M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 316 events with over $2.3M bet and the same 88% hit rate.
They bought No at 54¢ after a sharp move higher, suggesting continued conviction against Mexico winning.

$1,285 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

92% sports winner buying Yes

Sharp sports bettor with a 92% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Mexico Yes at 75¢.

This bettor has won 35 of 38 resolved positions and is up $14.2K lifetime.
They bought Mexico at 75¢ despite a fairly liquid market, suggesting confidence in the favorite.
Their past wins came at 62¢ on average, showing they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.

$2,025 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 68% record and $156k lifetime profit is backing Mexico at 78¢ after a strong weekly move.

This bettor has won 68% of 145 resolved bets and is up $156,766 lifetime.
They are a heavy repeat trader, with $507,341 bet across 88 events.
Mexico has already moved up 15 points this week, and this bettor is still buying at 78¢.

$2,950 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

0x9d94...017d — Outcome 10452522, $8,660
0x9439...5122 — Outcome 10452522, $8,471
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 10452522, $4,575 (66% win rate)
0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 10452522, $3,000 (55% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10452522, $2,800
0x90ba...63f3 — Outcome 10452522, $2,035 (79% win rate)
0xd146...9bf0 — Outcome 10452522, $2,000 (37% win rate)
0x0497...c5e3 — Outcome 10452522, $1,615
0x8fe7...4f20 — Outcome 10452522, $1,200 (66% win rate)
0xd604...cb5f — Outcome 10452522, $1,000 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?

ResolvedMexico vs. Serbia$8,055 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 4, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.