Part of: Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
This Polymarket market covers the Guangzhou Open match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; current odds are not included in the provided market data, though one tracked smart-money signal shows a bettor adding to Xinran Sun.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Xinran Sun. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,510.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% winner joins three-wallet Maria push
A proven bettor with 242 resolved positions and a 92% win rate bought Maria Timofeeva amid a sharp volume spike and matching bets from three wallets.
- This bettor has won 222 of 242 resolved positions and is up $524,676.
- Three wallets bought Maria Timofeeva for a combined $10,157 as market volume spiked 48× its historical average.
- The trade entered at 41¢, while the market now prices Maria at about 42¢.
$2,657 on Maria Timofeeva | Wallet win rate: 92%
Seven-wallet Xinran cluster with sharp bettors
Seven wallets committed $15.6K to Xinran Sun, with corroborating price movement and participation from bettors whose strong records beat their average entry odds.
- Seven wallets bought Xinran Sun for a combined $15,554, averaging about 51¢ per share.
- Two participating bettors have 78% and 79% win rates, well above their average entry odds.
- Xinran’s price rose 18% during a 48× volume spike, though other traders also bought Timofeeva.
$16,419 on Xinran Sun
93% winner adding to Maria position
A proven bettor with a 93% win rate and nearly $100,000 in profit bought $2,000 of Maria Timofeeva and has an established position on the same outcome.
- This bettor has won 337 of 361 resolved bets and is up $99,273 overall.
- They added $2,000 to an existing Maria Timofeeva position, entering at 49¢.
- The wallet has placed bets across 115 events, and Maria's price is now reported at 55¢.
$2,000 on Maria Timofeeva | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable bettor adding to Xinran Sun
A highly profitable bettor with an 80% win rate across 130 resolved positions added $3,000 to an existing Xinran Sun position at roughly 40¢.
- This bettor has won 104 of 130 resolved positions and is up $132,560.
- They added $3,000 to an existing Xinran Sun position at 39–40¢, reinforcing their conviction.
- The wallet is an active cross-market trader with positions across 54 events.
$5,434 on Xinran Sun | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable bettor adding to Xinran Sun
A highly profitable bettor with an 80% win rate across 130 resolved positions added $3,000 to an existing Xinran Sun position at roughly 40¢.
- This bettor has won 104 of 130 resolved positions and is up $132,560.
- They added $3,000 to an existing Xinran Sun position at 39–40¢, reinforcing their conviction.
- The wallet is an active cross-market trader with positions across 54 events.
$3,000 on Xinran Sun | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x5cfe...0593 — Maria Timofeeva, $48,956 (83% win rate)
- 0xc9ce...1533 — Maria Timofeeva, $26,571
- 0xe7a2...ae70 — Maria Timofeeva, $11,955 (52% win rate)
- 0xc0a5...1f5f — Maria Timofeeva, $11,308 (93% win rate)
- 0x31a1...1227 — Maria Timofeeva, $11,159 (79% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Maria Timofeeva, $9,438 (61% win rate)
- 0x5901...63a2 — Maria Timofeeva, $6,480 (92% win rate)
- 0x8785...8cc1 — Maria Timofeeva, $5,661 (57% win rate)
- 0xdf61...cdd9 — Maria Timofeeva, $5,154 (62% win rate)
- 0x09be...9c32 — Maria Timofeeva, $4,904 (96% win rate)
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