This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets, with past entries beating average odds by 33 points. They bought Brazil at 31¢ while the market sits around 32¢, so the entry is still near current fair access. Lifetime profit is basically flat despite the high hit rate, making this a track-record watch rather than a whale signal.

Part of: Brazil vs. Haiti - More Markets

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,540.

Categories: Soccer, Games, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Coordinated Haiti spread buyers

High-scoring coordinated Haiti spread buying with three wallets, broad cross-market event positioning, and a sharp price move from low-40s to 50¢ despite mixed wallet track records.

Three wallets bought $16.7k of Haiti in the same direction, with entries mostly at 41–49¢.
The market moved to 50¢ after the buying, up 18 points in the past day.
Two wallets are also active across 21 related event markets with over $500k positioned.

$16,659 on Haiti

93% winner backing Brazil spread

Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved record and positive P&L bought Brazil -3.5 at 77¢ despite a heavily traded market.

This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved positions and is up $3.2K lifetime.
They bought Brazil -3.5 at 77¢, close to the current market price after a major move upward.
Brazil has already moved about 46 points in 24h, and this sharp wallet is still buying.

$1,168 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 95%

Cross-market sports whale

Surfaced due to a large Haiti spread buy on a relatively quiet market plus the same wallet positioning across 8 related event markets, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.

This bettor put $11.3k on Haiti +3.5, far larger than the market’s recent quiet activity.
They have built $36k of positions across 8 related markets on the same event.
Entry at 68¢ suggests they see Haiti staying within 3 goals as materially underpriced.

$15,409 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 54%

Cross-market sports whale

Surfaced due to a large Haiti spread buy on a relatively quiet market plus the same wallet positioning across 8 related event markets, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.

This bettor put $11.3k on Haiti +3.5, far larger than the market’s recent quiet activity.
They have built $36k of positions across 8 related markets on the same event.
Entry at 68¢ suggests they see Haiti staying within 3 goals as materially underpriced.

$4,172 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 54%

92% win-rate bettor

Single sports bet from a wallet with a very strong 11/12 resolved record, though lifetime P&L is essentially flat and the market is highly liquid.

This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets, with past entries beating average odds by 33 points.
They bought Brazil at 31¢ while the market sits around 32¢, so the entry is still near current fair access.
Lifetime profit is basically flat despite the high hit rate, making this a track-record watch rather than a whale signal.

$3,148 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 86%

Cross-market sports whale

Surfaced due to a large Haiti spread buy on a relatively quiet market plus the same wallet positioning across 8 related event markets, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.

This bettor put $11.3k on Haiti +3.5, far larger than the market’s recent quiet activity.
They have built $36k of positions across 8 related markets on the same event.
Entry at 68¢ suggests they see Haiti staying within 3 goals as materially underpriced.

$1,865 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 54%

5-wallet Brazil spread push

High-score coordinated Brazil spread buying from 5 wallets, including serial cross-market bettors and a repeat new wallet, despite price moving against their entries.

Five wallets bought the same Brazil spread outcome for $26K within minutes.
The flow came with a 43x pre-game volume spike and cross-market positioning across 3 related markets.
Several bettors have long histories, including one up $54K lifetime and another active across 46 events.

$6,976 on Brazil

Profitable serial soccer bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Brazil -3.5 during an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 66% of 1,292 resolved bets and is up $1.75M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.8M tracked across 160 markets.
The buy came during a 1,598x pre-event volume spike before kickoff.

$1,323 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 66%

Cross-market sports whale

Surfaced due to a large Haiti spread buy on a relatively quiet market plus the same wallet positioning across 8 related event markets, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.

This bettor put $11.3k on Haiti +3.5, far larger than the market’s recent quiet activity.
They have built $36k of positions across 8 related markets on the same event.
Entry at 68¢ suggests they see Haiti staying within 3 goals as materially underpriced.

$1,205 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 54%

Cross-market sports whale

Surfaced due to a large Haiti spread buy on a relatively quiet market plus the same wallet positioning across 8 related event markets, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.

This bettor put $11.3k on Haiti +3.5, far larger than the market’s recent quiet activity.
They have built $36k of positions across 8 related markets on the same event.
Entry at 68¢ suggests they see Haiti staying within 3 goals as materially underpriced.

$1,306 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 54%

Top Holders

0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 34247840, $212,068 (95% win rate)
0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 34247840, $100,000 (86% win rate)
0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 34247840, $54,801 (100% win rate)
0xbbf1...d61a — Outcome 34247840, $50,000
0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 34247840, $40,000 (89% win rate)
0xdb85...152f — Outcome 34247840, $20,000 (74% win rate)
0xbda1...827f — Outcome 34247840, $12,598 (50% win rate)
0xa80e...6aa1 — Outcome 34247840, $9,999 (58% win rate)
0x93eb...c387 — Outcome 34247840, $7,084 (79% win rate)
0xe214...c5ce — Outcome 34247840, $6,000 (42% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Iraq wins three nil

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Portugal held to low score

Covers 7 related markets

Ghana gets shut out

Covers 6 related markets

Colombia edges low-scoring match

Covers 10 related markets

Bosnia routs Switzerland scoreless

Covers 7 related markets

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

ResolvedBrazil vs. Haiti - More Markets$64,540 tracked11 signalsSoccerGamesSportsFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 19 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Haiti". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Haiti”

73¢

67¢

60¢