Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 16 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,673.

Categories: Sports, MLB, Games, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable new whale on Under

A very new but already profitable repeat whale bought $42k of Under, exceeding the market's 24h volume on a liquid MLB total.

  • This 5-day-old wallet is already up $134k and has gone 3-for-3 on resolved bets.
  • They bought $42k of Under at 52¢, more than the market’s entire 24h volume.
  • This is the wallet’s 29th flagged large bet, suggesting a repeat high-conviction sports bettor.

$42,254 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Elite MLB sharp on Under

Elite sports bettor with an 87% long-run win rate and $2.3M profit is buying Under in a liquid MLB totals market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded 777 markets across 639 events, suggesting a proven repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 52¢ means they are backing Under as a modest favorite despite a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,739 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample is buying Over at near-even odds on a liquid MLB total.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 1,788 resolved bets and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 205 events with $2.3M in tracked activity.
  • Entry at 48¢ is near a coin flip, suggesting they see value on Over 8.5.

$4,679 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 — Over, $92,683 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x50c3...ace1 — Over, $1,482 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xabf5...cfeb — Over, $1,000 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x09ee...90a4 — Over, $708 (81% win rate)
  5. 0xd441...87fe — Over, $320
  6. 0x32ed...f960 — Over, $122 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x16ea...9400 — Over, $119
  8. 0xaf58...2bf4 — Over, $104
  9. 0x5b62...d87f — Over, $100 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xa2e0...d084 — Over, $93

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$48,673 tracked3 signalsSportsMLBGamesbaseball
Over
0¢
Under
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 16 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
6
23-23
Final
PIT
0
24-22
PHI -171PIT +141O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Attendance
31,296

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

2026-05-16 20:23 UTC

$42,254 on Under at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

2026-05-16 16:20 UTC

$1,739 on Under at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

2026-05-16 16:20 UTC

$4,679 on Over at 48¢

Related Theses