Part of: Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,092.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster fading swing

A 4-wallet cluster piled into Ostapenko before a huge market reversal, led by one bettor with a 93% win rate and backed by linked funding plus strong volume and price action.

  • One wallet in this group wins 93% of its bets and is up about $506k lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought Ostapenko for $10.6k at 32¢-46¢ before she crashed to 10¢, showing concentrated conviction into a fast-moving market.
  • Two of the wallets share funding, and the market saw a 24x volume spike with a 14-point price jump in minutes.

$10,607 on Jelena Ostapenko

93% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 93% win rate bought Jelena Ostapenko at 46¢ just before the market moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $489k across 184 settled positions
  • They bought Ostapenko at 46¢ and the market moved to 55¢ shortly after, confirming strong timing
  • This wallet has placed $630k across 94 related events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$1,731 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% win-rate sharp

A proven high-win-rate sports bettor with 1,934 resolved markets bought into a fast-moving side after a major price jump and unusual volume, making this a strong follow signal despite the small stake size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $122k across 1,934 resolved markets
  • They bought Potapova at 90¢ after a 36-point move and a 21.7x volume spike, showing they still see value even after the surge
  • This wallet has placed profitable bets across 123 separate events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit

$1,365 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate bought Ostapenko before a sharp market move, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite the moderate alert score.

  • This bettor has won 2,548 of 3,517 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They bought Ostapenko at 45¢ before the market swung hard; that same side is now just 10¢
  • This is a repeat cross-market trader active across 1,267 markets, which makes the entry more worth studying

$2,614 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 73%

96% win-rate sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate made a nearly $5k buy in a match seeing unusual volume and a sharp price move, making this worth tracking despite the entry being worse than current odds.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up $122k across 1,934 settled positions.
  • They also trade this way across 122 events, which makes this look like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • The market saw a 20.6x volume spike and a 28-point move, but the current 74-75¢ price is better than their 82¢ entry.

$4,973 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp contrarian cluster on underdog

Three wallets piled into Ostapenko as the market swung hard toward Potapova, led by one highly profitable 72% win-rate bettor and a large repeat new wallet, making this a credible contrarian cluster worth watching.

  • A bettor who wins 72% of 3,517 resolved markets and is up $6.4M bought Ostapenko at 45¢
  • Three wallets all took the same side for $5.8k total while Ostapenko crashed from 63¢/45¢ entries to 26¢
  • One 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 6 times with $10.4k in large bets, suggesting strong early conviction

$5,763 on Jelena Ostapenko

3-wallet underdog cluster

Three wallets piled into the underdog side as Potapova crashed from roughly 50% to 26% on heavy volume, creating a notable coordinated contrarian entry worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets put $8.7k on Potapova as the market repriced her from about 50% to 26%.
  • Volume ran 51x above normal and the price move broke below its prior range, so this was not routine flow.
  • One wallet is a high-volume cross-market trader with 301 resolved bets and a 66% win rate, adding some signal quality to the cluster.

$8,651 on Anastasia Potapova

Serial sports trader on momentum

A very active sports trader with a large sample size bought Ostapenko into a major pre-match volume and price surge, suggesting momentum worth following despite only modest historical edge.

  • This wallet has bet 564 markets across 460 events, so this is a seasoned trader rather than a one-off whale
  • They bought Ostapenko at 64¢ as this market saw a 46.8x volume spike and a 22-point move toward her
  • The market is liquid and active, which makes this look more like informed momentum than random noise

$3,443 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 63%

96% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 96% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh position on Potapova near even odds, making this a copy-worthy sharp sports bet.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades, with 27 wins in 28 bets
  • They are up $42.8k on $100.8k invested, which points to real betting skill rather than luck
  • They bought Potapova at 49¢, a near-even price that suggests they see clear value

$1,486 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 97%

96% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 96% win rate and strong positive edge is taking a fresh position on Potapova near even odds, making this a credible sharp signal despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 27 of 28 resolved trades and is up about $42.8k
  • They bought Potapova at 49¢, close to a coin flip, which suggests they see real mispricing
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate sharp entry rather than noise

$1,689 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xba81...dc35 Outcome 56912455, $25,865 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 56912455, $8,441 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x138d...b23e Outcome 56912455, $1,530
  4. 0x3f2b...0e18 Outcome 56912455, $1,258 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x058e...a2ac Outcome 56912455, $1,183
  6. 0x5e30...acbf Outcome 56912455, $1,010 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x7234...1d85 Outcome 56912455, $996 (84% win rate)
  8. 0xc75b...e606 Outcome 56912455, $970
  9. 0x9f84...be62 Outcome 56912455, $930
  10. 0x1225...7874 Outcome 56912455, $821

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

ResolvedMadrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko$46,092 tracked11 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Anastasia Potapova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$10,607 on Jelena Ostapenko at 36¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$1,731 on Jelena Ostapenko at 46¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$1,365 on Anastasia Potapova at 90¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$2,614 on Jelena Ostapenko at 45¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$4,973 on Anastasia Potapova at 82¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$5,763 on Jelena Ostapenko at 54¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$8,651 on Anastasia Potapova at 26¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$3,443 on Jelena Ostapenko at 64¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$1,486 on Anastasia Potapova at 49¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$1,689 on Anastasia Potapova at 49¢

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko

19d ago

$3,769 on Jelena Ostapenko at 51¢

Related Theses