Part of: Pacers vs. Heat

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,797.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Winning whale cluster backs Heat

Four wallets put $31.8K on Heat amid a 25x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a strong track record.

  • Four wallets bought Heat for a combined $31,767, with activity 25 times the historical average.
  • One bettor has a 73% win rate across 544 resolved bets and is up about $960K.
  • Two wallets are adding to existing Heat positions; the trades entered around 50¢.

$31,767 on Heat

Proven 84% winner adding to Heat

A highly profitable bettor with 134 resolved positions and an 84% win rate is adding to a Heat position amid a sharp event-volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 134 resolved positions and is up $853,026.
  • They added $5,894 to Heat at 50¢, building on an existing $11,787 position.
  • Trading across three markets in this event coincides with a 22.8× volume spike.

$5,894 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 86%

93% winner backs Heat at 50¢

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate across 656 resolved positions bought Heat at 50¢ as event volume surged and the price rose 11%.

  • This bettor has won 609 of 656 resolved positions and earned over $1 million in profit.
  • They bought Heat at 50¢ as the price rose 11% and volume spiked to 22.8 times its historical average.
  • The trader has placed bets across 80 events, suggesting a consistent record beyond this single market.

$1,000 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 93%

Perfect-record serial cross-market bettor

A profitable cross-market trader with a perfect record on 10 resolved bets is adding over $10,000 to an existing Pacers position near even odds.

  • This bettor is up $108,764 and has won all 10 resolved bets, at an average winning entry of 49¢.
  • They added $10,644 to an existing Pacers position, bringing their investment in it to over $32,000.
  • The latest buys were around 50–51¢, close to the market’s current 50% odds.

$10,644 on Pacers | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven 89% winner backs Heat

A highly profitable bettor with 514 resolved positions and an 89% win rate is backing Heat -8.5 at 51¢.

  • This bettor has won 459 of 514 resolved positions, entering at an average winning price of 50¢.
  • They are up $577,744 lifetime and placed a $1,268 bet on Heat -8.5.
  • The wallet has traded across 94 events, suggesting this is an active, experienced bettor.

$1,268 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial trader backs Heat

A highly experienced, profitable trader placed a $21,225 Heat bet in a market with only $1,749 in 24-hour volume, making this a notable concentrated position.

  • This trader is up about $64 million across more than 83,000 resolved bets.
  • They put $21,225 on Heat at 52¢—more than 12 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The market has substantial liquidity, so the large position is notable without an unusually wide spread.

$21,225 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3dfb...abaf — Pacers, $58,500 (48% win rate)
  2. 0x958b...f826 — Pacers, $39,434 (74% win rate)
  3. 0xfb3e...a19a — Pacers, $22,311 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x796f...00f6 — Pacers, $1,921 (52% win rate)
  5. 0xdd5e...9040 — Pacers, $1,648 (86% win rate)
  6. 0x3280...ea74 — Pacers, $1,020 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x715b...920f — Pacers, $792
  8. 0x84cf...2f63 — Pacers, $626 (47% win rate)
  9. 0x09b5...7e72 — Pacers, $252 (55% win rate)
  10. 0x878d...85a5 — Pacers, $229 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Real Madrid wins by exactly two

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays dominate in a low-scoring win

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

Pacers vs. Heat$71,797 tracked6 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Heat
100¢
Pacers
0¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

IND
125
2-4
Final
Kaseya Center
MIA
145
2-4
Draft Kings
Spread: MIA -8.5O/U: 236.5ML: +260/-325
Win Prob
—
Poly: 100¢
Last Play
—
Price History — “Heat”
88¢
66¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-31 00:13 UTC

$31,767 on Heat at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-30 21:40 UTC

$5,894 on Heat at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-30 21:40 UTC

$1,000 on Heat at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-30 21:32 UTC

$10,644 on Pacers at 51¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-30 16:56 UTC

$1,268 on Heat at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

Spread: Heat (-8.5)

2026-10-30 13:22 UTC

$21,225 on Heat at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Related Theses