Part of: Greece vs. Italy
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,877.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
92% winner fading favorite
Elite 92% lifetime winner is fading Italy at 88¢ after a huge pre-game price and volume surge.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.5M lifetime.
- They are selling Italy at 88¢ after Yes jumped 59 points in a day.
- The market saw a 54x volume spike, making this a notable fade of a heavy favorite.
$1,285 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A massively profitable serial sports trader bought Italy Yes amid a 54x pre-event volume spike and sharp upward price momentum.
- This bettor is up $3.6M across 42,970 resolved bets.
- Market volume is 54x normal, with Italy Yes up sharply over the past day.
- They bought at 85¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢.
$3,647 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
92% win-rate sports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% historical win rate bought Italy Yes amid a 35x volume spike and sharp upward price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.54M lifetime.
- They have traded 639 markets across 493 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Italy Yes is seeing a 35x volume spike and moved up 15 points, supporting the same direction.
$3,729 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Serial cross-market sports bettor
High composite alert from a serial cross-market sports trader plus a 35x volume spike and 15-point Yes price move, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has traded 674 markets across 573 events and won 86% of resolved bets.
- The market saw a 35x volume spike and Yes moved up 15 points, suggesting broad momentum behind Italy.
- The trader bought Yes at 80¢, above the current 76¢ market price.
$4,155 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Serial trader exits No
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% resolved win rate is abandoning a prior No position as the market moves sharply toward Italy winning.
- This bettor has traded 98 events, wins 73% of resolved bets, and is up about $75k lifetime.
- They sold No after previously holding a $16k No position, effectively shifting away from the anti-Italy side.
- The market has moved hard toward Yes, up 42 points in the past day, with heavy 24h volume.
$4,371 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Serial cross-market winner
A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 73% resolved win rate put $6.8k on No, making this a credible follow despite only one trade signal.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $80k lifetime.
- They have traded across 97 events with over $3.0M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
- The $6.8k buy on No comes at 62¢ after the market moved toward Yes, making it a notable contrarian entry.
$6,770 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
$15M-profit serial bettor
A massively profitable serial cross-market trader bought Italy Yes, though the individual stake is modest relative to this liquid market.
- This bettor has won 68% of 12,411 resolved trades and is up about $15.1M lifetime.
- They are a highly active cross-market trader, with $20.3M flagged across 2,594 markets.
- Entry at 38¢ follows a 9-point move toward Italy over the past day.
$1,632 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
87% winner buying No
Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and nearly $596k lifetime profit is buying No on Italy after extensive cross-market activity.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $595,889 lifetime.
- They have a deep track record across 158 events with $479k in cross-market betting activity.
- Buying No at 64¢ suggests they see Italy as less likely to win than the current market implies.
$1,024 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Linked profitable No cluster
Three wallets, including two linked accounts and two highly profitable serial sports traders, bought Italy No together at roughly 68¢.
- A bettor with 17,296 resolved trades wins 63% and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same No side within seconds, with two sharing a funder.
- Entry around 68¢ suggests they see Italy failing to win as underpriced.
$4,527 on No
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader with 17,296 resolved bets and $3.7M lifetime profit bought Italy Yes at 32¢.
- This bettor has won 63% of 17,296 resolved bets and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 448 events and $2.8M in flagged volume.
- Entry at 32¢ implies a roughly 3.1x gross payout if Italy wins.
$1,239 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 64158860, $15,164 (64% win rate)
- 0xf57e...bbd6 — Outcome 64158860, $3,571 (64% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 64158860, $3,200 (88% win rate)
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 64158860, $2,018 (94% win rate)
- 0xde0a...f102 — Outcome 64158860, $1,956 (65% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 64158860, $1,531 (71% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 64158860, $1,270 (63% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 64158860, $1,136 (74% win rate)
- 0x47c7...cac7 — Outcome 64158860, $910 (94% win rate)
- 0xa877...2e20 — Outcome 64158860, $662 (46% win rate)
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