Part of: Croatia vs. Ghana - More Markets
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,387.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
73% serial sports bettor
High-scoring serial cross-market sports bettor with a 73% record bought Under at 87¢ amid a major event-wide volume spike and price move.
- This bettor has won 73% of 388 resolved trades and is up $57.5K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market pattern: 166 events, 287 markets, and $4.8M traded.
- This buy came during a 188x volume spike, and Under has already moved from 87¢ to 100¢.
$1,776 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%
67% serial sports trader
High-scoring composite alert from a proven serial cross-market sports trader buying Under before a major move to 100%.
- This bettor has won 67% of 758 resolved bets and is up $9.1k lifetime.
- They put $4.9k on Under at 67¢, which has since moved to 100¢.
- The same wallet has traded 52 markets across 35 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
$4,892 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%
Serial bettor caught Under move
High composite sports alert with a serial cross-market bettor buying Under at 70¢ before the market moved to 100¢, supported by a major volume spike and price impact despite the wallet's negative lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has traded across 29 events and wins 70% of resolved bets, though they are down lifetime.
- They bought Under at 70¢ before it moved to 100¢, suggesting strong timing on this market.
- Market volume spiked 188x versus normal and Under jumped about 20 percentage points.
$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%
Five-wallet Under surge
High-scoring cluster alert: five wallets bought $14.1k of Under, coinciding with a 301x volume spike and a move from ~68¢ entry to 88¢ current odds.
- Five wallets bought $14.1k of Under in minutes, and the price jumped from 67–70¢ to 88¢.
- Volume spiked 301x above normal, suggesting a sudden wave of conviction before the match.
- Several wallets are seasoned cross-market sports bettors, including one up $623k lifetime across $40M traded.
$14,094 on Under
Profitable sports sharp
Surfaced because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% long-term win rate is adding a cross-market position on Under.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.82M lifetime.
- They have positioned across 4 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader game thesis.
- The bet backs Under at 81¢, aligned with the market’s current favorite side but from a proven winner.
$2,624 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xc41e...e2e9 — Outcome 21248649, $21,333
- 0xf8e2...ec79 — Outcome 21248649, $10,081 (71% win rate)
- 0x5978...a870 — Outcome 21248649, $3,957
- 0xb476...6eac — Outcome 21248649, $3,906 (58% win rate)
- 0xc23d...82c8 — Outcome 21248649, $3,422 (89% win rate)
- 0x6e33...b360 — Outcome 21248649, $3,365
- 0x23b0...13a3 — Outcome 21248649, $3,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x4154...e7a8 — Outcome 21248649, $3,000 (85% win rate)
- 0xcf8a...2d3c — Outcome 21248649, $2,800 (65% win rate)
- 0x5d6f...4997 — Outcome 21248649, $2,381
Related Theses
England Ghana ends 1-1
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Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
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Tunisia keeps Japan close
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Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
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Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
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Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
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Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring
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Early goal, exactly two total
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Côte d'Ivoire wins big late
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France wins five-goal rout
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