Part of: Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

This prediction market tracks whether Blake Lively will physically attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s wedding. It resolves by December 31, 2026, based on photo/video evidence or confirmed statements; if no Swift-Kelce wedding occurs by then, the market resolves “No.” Smart money activity currently shows $8,625 tracked across 2 signals, including notable buying on “No.”

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,625.

Categories: Culture, Taylor Swift, NFL, Music

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor quick scalp

Surfaced due to a very strong historical wallet profile, though the actual trade looks like a quick No-side scalp rather than a fresh high-conviction position.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $27K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 79¢, then quickly sold most of it at 81–83¢, suggesting a sharp short-term scalp.
  • The market is long-dated and celebrity-driven, so the copy signal is weaker than the wallet’s track record.

$5,746 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

97% winner buying NO

Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has an exceptional 97% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $27K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 79¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢.
  • This is a fresh $2.9K position from a wallet with a large 138-bet track record.

$2,879 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcb50...3993 — Outcome 88193074, $350
  2. 0x7e75...64e4 — Outcome 88193074, $253
  3. 0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 88193074, $230
  4. 0x33e9...1a74 — Outcome 88193074, $209
  5. 0x2675...2374 — Outcome 88193074, $200
  6. 0x75cb...1556 — Outcome 88193074, $150
  7. 0x7ac4...4f44 — Outcome 88193074, $150
  8. 0xcffb...3449 — Outcome 88193074, $146
  9. 0xb42d...f33e — Outcome 88193074, $110
  10. 0x6c37...d40f — Outcome 88193074, $105

Related Theses

Iran leadership remains unchanged

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Iranian blockade ends in September

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Israel closes airspace in late August

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Iran closes airspace after May 21

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Haley Stevens beats Abdul El-Sayed

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Iran closure delayed until August

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Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

128dWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?$8,625 tracked2 signalsCultureTaylor SwiftNFLMusic

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Notable Trades

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

52d ago

$5,746 on No at 79¢

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

52d ago

$2,879 on No at 79¢

Related Theses

Iran leadership remains unchanged
Wallet_0x836ff trades 4 related markets
Iran leadership change by Dece…Iran leadership change by May …Iran leadership change by Apri…
Iranian blockade ends in September
Wallet_0x836ff trades 4 related markets
US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…
Israel closes airspace in late August
Wallet_0x836ff trades 3 related markets
Israel closes its airspace by …Israel closes its airspace by …Israel closes its airspace by …
Iran closes airspace after May 21
Wallet_0x836ff trades 2 related markets
Iran closes its airspace by Ma…Iran closes its airspace by Ma…
Haley Stevens beats Abdul El-Sayed
Wallet_0x836ff trades 2 related markets
Will Haley Stevens win the 202…Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 20…
Iran closure delayed until August
Wallet_0x836ff trades 2 related markets
Iran full airspace closure by …Iran full airspace closure by …