Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,961.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial esports trader buying favorite

Surfaced because this is a highly active cross-market esports trader with a 73% hit rate whose buy helped push Team Falcons sharply above its prior range, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has a huge sample: 1,530 resolved bets with a 73% hit rate across 74 events.
  • They bought Team Falcons at 90¢, and the market has already moved to 94¢.
  • The trade came with a sharp price breakout, pushing Team Falcons far above its prior 46–51¢ range.

$1,304 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 74%

89% winner buying underdog

A highly profitable 89% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora at 25¢ despite the market later moving sharply against them.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $191k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with the same 89% hit rate.
  • Entry at 25¢ was a contrarian underdog bet, though Aurora has since fallen to about 12¢.

$1,070 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 89%

Perfect-record esports sharp

Sharp esports wallet with a perfect 20-0 resolved record and strong lifetime profit bought $6.6k of Team Falcons at 51¢.

  • This bettor has won 20 of 20 resolved trades and is up $129k lifetime.
  • They put $6.6k on Team Falcons at 51¢ in a liquid Dota market.
  • Their past wins came at 58¢ average odds, showing a strong record beyond just backing heavy favorites.

$6,600 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%

93% winner backs Falcons

Elite profitable esports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $1.36M lifetime profit bought Team Falcons at 47¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.36M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.7M wagered across 187 markets.
  • Entry at 47¢ implies they see Team Falcons as mispriced versus the near-even market.

$1,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

New esports whale repeats

A brand-new wallet is repeatedly placing large esports bets, adding nearly $6k on Aurora within 71 minutes of creation and $16k total flagged.

  • This wallet is only 71 minutes old but has already made about $16k in flagged bets.
  • The bettor put nearly $6k on Aurora at 55¢, a large fresh position in a mid-liquidity esports market.
  • The trade was about 70% of the market’s 24h volume at the time, suggesting strong conviction.

$5,987 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 100%

93% winner backs Falcons

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 93% record is buying Team Falcons in meaningful size on a relatively small esports market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $1.31M lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 183 markets across 75 events with the same 93% win rate.
  • The $4,000 buy is large for this market, equal to about 79% of recent 24h volume.

$4,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xed8f...a623 Outcome 11504356, $12,761 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xb517...434b Outcome 11504356, $10,638 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x03f8...d85a Outcome 11504356, $4,063 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x8479...40df Outcome 11504356, $2,937 (97% win rate)
  5. 0xa9c4...7433 Outcome 11504356, $2,550 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xe6e4...22cc Outcome 11504356, $1,700 (22% win rate)
  7. 0xebb4...1374 Outcome 11504356, $1,600 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x13c7...11d9 Outcome 11504356, $1,201 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x8e3f...6941 Outcome 11504356, $1,048 (44% win rate)
  10. 0x629d...756c Outcome 11504356, $765

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$19,961 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Falcons
74¢
59¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

7d ago

$1,304 on Team Falcons at 90¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

7d ago

$1,070 on Aurora at 25¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

7d ago

$6,600 on Team Falcons at 51¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

7d ago

$1,000 on Team Falcons at 47¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

7d ago

$5,987 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

7d ago

$4,000 on Team Falcons at 47¢

Related Theses