Part of: Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $354,672.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
84% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% win rate and $742k profit bought Argentina -2.5 despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $742k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 268 events with the same 84% win rate.
- Bought Argentina at 39¢, while the market is now around 34–35¢, offering a better entry than the trader got.
$1,339 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial bettor cluster
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Argentina alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 518 resolved trades and is up $529k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 215 events with over $7.3M in tracked volume.
- Five wallets bought Argentina the same way for $21k total, with market volume spiking 14.8x above normal.
$2,936 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 73%
81% winner joins one-sided flow
Highly profitable 81% lifetime bettor bought Cabo Verde alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.49M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 470 events and $6.3M in tracked activity.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $40K as volume jumped 15.8x before the match.
$4,074 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 81%
23-wallet one-sided cluster
High-conviction one-sided flow: 23 wallets, including 4 linked by funding, bought Argentina despite this main wallet having a poor long-term record.
- 23 wallets bought Argentina the same way, totaling about $159K in one-sided flow.
- Four wallets share a funder, suggesting a coordinated bettor or group is building the same position.
- Market volume spiked up to 100x normal before the game, though the main wallet has a weak long-term record.
$16,891 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 46%
15-wallet Argentina push
Surface because the signal is broad one-sided event flow into Argentina, not this individual wallet's poor historical record.
- 15 wallets bought Argentina the same way, totaling about $123k in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 50x+ versus normal, suggesting a sudden coordinated move before kickoff.
- The main wallet is not sharp historically, so the stronger signal is the crowding and volume surge.
$38,820 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 46%
Sharp bettor joins 11-wallet push
Sharp 81% lifetime bettor is buying Argentina -2.5 alongside strong one-sided flow from 11 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $16.8K lifetime.
- 11 wallets are all buying Argentina in the same direction, totaling $130K.
- Market volume spiked 44.6x before the game, adding momentum to the sharp buy.
$7,858 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp cluster buying spread
Surface because a highly profitable 86% winner joined a coordinated Argentina-side cluster despite some opposing Cabo Verde flow.
- One Argentina buyer wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $1.6M lifetime.
- Four wallets bought $18.9K of Argentina within minutes at 45–46¢.
- This market has heavy pre-game activity, with volume 15.8x above normal and Argentina up 4 points today.
$18,904 on Argentina
Sharp serial bettors cluster
Two highly profitable sports bettors joined a $49.5k one-sided cluster buying Cabo Verde against the spread amid a 13x volume spike.
- Two proven bettors joined this side: one wins 90% and is up $182k, while another wins 76% and is up $132k.
- Three wallets bought $49.5k of Cabo Verde, all in the same direction at 61–62¢.
- This is part of a broader event thesis, with serial cross-market bettors active across many prior events.
$49,500 on Cabo Verde
87% winner backs favorite spread
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Argentina -2.5 at 43¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $19.6K lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by a wide margin, with 41 wins in 47 resolved positions.
- Entry at 43¢ implies a strong view that Argentina can win by 3+ goals.
$1,501 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp cluster backing Argentina spread
Three wallets put $55k on Argentina -2.5, including a highly profitable bettor with a 95% record and $2.0M lifetime profit.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $2.0M joined this side.
- Three wallets put $55k on Argentina at 42¢, all pointing the same way.
- Market volume is running 39x above normal, with Argentina up 4 points over the past day.
$54,969 on Argentina
Top Holders
- 0x580d...eb6d — Outcome 10556936, $171,023 (87% win rate)
- 0xe5c2...2ab0 — Outcome 10556936, $88,002 (94% win rate)
- 0xbf32...3b90 — Outcome 10556936, $29,882 (100% win rate)
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Outcome 10556936, $25,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 10556936, $20,200 (88% win rate)
- 0x8b88...8f33 — Outcome 10556936, $20,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x95f5...779f — Outcome 10556936, $15,573
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 10556936, $13,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 10556936, $12,222 (96% win rate)
- 0x96a3...d944 — Outcome 10556936, $12,000 (77% win rate)
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