Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

This MLB prediction market covers the July 19 game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for 2:10 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter tracks $1,331 in smart money and one recorded signal for this market.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $92,313.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor caught Padres breakout

A highly active, profitable sports bettor bought Padres at 80% before the market rose to 87%, alongside a major price breakout.

  • This bettor is up $1.07M across 3,608 resolved trades, with a 63% win rate.
  • Bought San Diego at 80¢ before the price climbed to 87%, while the market broke 30 percentage points above its historical range.
  • The $1,331 position is modest relative to market liquidity, but the timing and bettor track record make the move worth following.

$1,331 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 63%

93% win-rate bettor backs Royals

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate and 251 resolved positions made a concentrated $52,000 Royals wager that has already moved from 52% to 63%.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 251 resolved trades and is up $10.6 million.
  • A concentrated $52,000 Royals purchase at 52¢ preceded a 10.5-point market move in their direction.
  • The trader has positioned across 332 events, suggesting a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off wager.

$52,000 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 93%

Serial bettor scaling into Padres

A serial cross-market bettor with 454 resolved trades and $153,000 profit is adding $17,236 to an already large Padres position amid an extreme pre-event volume surge.

  • This bettor is up $153,000 across 454 resolved trades and has traded 74 events.
  • The $17,236 buy adds to a $45,304 Padres position at the same 48¢ entry, showing sustained conviction.
  • The market saw a 3,786× volume spike versus its normal 24-hour activity before the game.

$21,746 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 64%

Serial bettor scaling into Padres

A serial cross-market bettor with 454 resolved trades and $153,000 profit is adding $17,236 to an already large Padres position amid an extreme pre-event volume surge.

  • This bettor is up $153,000 across 454 resolved trades and has traded 74 events.
  • The $17,236 buy adds to a $45,304 Padres position at the same 48¢ entry, showing sustained conviction.
  • The market saw a 3,786× volume spike versus its normal 24-hour activity before the game.

$17,236 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bff...fc26 Outcome 52096181, $100,000 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 52096181, $17,117 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 52096181, $15,284 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 52096181, $14,617 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x41b4...10da Outcome 52096181, $13,500 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x9b12...5ee4 Outcome 52096181, $10,224
  7. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 52096181, $6,447 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x224f...514a Outcome 52096181, $5,700 (84% win rate)
  9. 0xa804...2a75 Outcome 52096181, $3,158 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 52096181, $3,086 (45% win rate)

Related Theses

Knicks Cavaliers stay under

Covers 4 related markets

Canadiens win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rockies Athletics stay low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Tempo-Dream stays under 178

Covers 3 related markets

Sparks-Tempo stays under

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Storm-Dream stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Cardinals Twins low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

6dSan Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals$92,313 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 19 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SD
19
49-50
Final
KC
2
40-60
SD -105KC -115O/U 9.5
Venue
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Attendance
18,383
Price History — “San Diego Padres
102¢
73¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

22h ago

$1,331 on San Diego Padres at 80¢

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

23h ago

$52,000 on Kansas City Royals at 52¢

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

23h ago

$21,746 on San Diego Padres at 48¢

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

1d ago

$17,236 on San Diego Padres at 48¢

Related Theses

Knicks Cavaliers stay under
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 4 related markets
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.…Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.…Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.…
Canadiens win high-scoring game
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U …Hurricanes vs. CanadiensHurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U …
Rockies Athletics stay low scoring
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 4 related markets
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics…Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics…Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics…
Tempo-Dream stays under 178
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Drea…Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Drea…Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Drea…
Sparks-Tempo stays under
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto…Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto…Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto…
Marlins win low-scoring game
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Roc…Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Roc…Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Roc…
Storm-Dream stays low scoring
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Drea…Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Drea…Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Drea…
Cardinals Twins low-scoring game
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…
Wallet_0xf6683 trades 3 related markets
Pacers vs. BullsSpread: Bulls (-4.5)Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
Wallet_0xf6683 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons vs. 76ers