Part of: UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,712.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

5-wallet funded cluster

A 5-wallet funded cluster put $20.6k on Mandel Nallo in a short burst during a major volume spike, led by at least two profitable high-volume bettors, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Five wallets tied to the same funder bought $20.6k of Mandel Nallo within minutes, showing coordinated conviction.
  • Two wallets in the group have long track records, including one up $873k across 2,863 resolved bets and another winning 72% of 1,032 bets.
  • The market saw a 37.8x volume spike, so this cluster hit during a burst of attention rather than as an isolated small bet.

$20,588 on Mandel Nallo

89% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate bought Mandel Nallo into a major pre-fight volume spike, making this a credible sharp-positioning signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up nearly $20k on about $58k staked
  • They bought Mandel Nallo at 60¢ as market activity jumped 37x above normal before the fight
  • Entry at 60¢ suggests they still see value even in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread

$1,067 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 89%

New wallet backing underdog

A brand-new wallet is repeatedly making decent-sized bets into a surging UFC market, suggesting fresh conviction on the underdog rather than routine flow.

  • This wallet is only about 1 hour old and has already been flagged twice for $2.7k in large bets
  • They bought Jai Herbert at 40¢, a price that pays about 2.5x if he wins
  • Trading volume is running 34.4x above normal, showing unusually strong interest before the fight

$1,218 on Jai Herbert | Wallet win rate: 44%

98% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% win rate bought Mandel Nallo at 61¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $225k across 124 settled positions.
  • They have placed about $168k across 47 events, which points to a repeatable multi-event betting edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Mandel Nallo at 61¢ in a liquid market, suggesting they still see value even after the line moved up slightly this week.

$1,206 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 99%

89% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong edge is buying Mandel Nallo at 61¢, making this a follow-worthy single-wallet alert despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up nearly $20k across 61 resolved positions
  • Their average winning entry is around 50¢, so buying at 61¢ suggests they still see clear value here
  • The market is liquid and active, which makes this look more like a sharp opinion than a random punt

$1,206 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 89%

78% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate and broad cross-market activity is buying Mandel Nallo at 61¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $24.8k on $106k invested
  • They have bet across 115 events and 133 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off swing
  • Bought Mandel Nallo at 61¢ in a liquid market, suggesting a disciplined sharp entry rather than random whale activity

$1,977 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 81%

89% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate bought Mandel Nallo at 61¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up nearly $20k over 61 resolved bets
  • They bought Mandel Nallo at 61¢, suggesting they see value even in a liquid market with tight pricing
  • Their average past win price is 50¢, so this record is not built on just buying heavy favorites

$1,220 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 89%

89% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong edge is taking Mandel Nallo at 61¢, making this a worthwhile copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up nearly $20k across 61 bets
  • Their average entry is around 50¢, so buying Mandel Nallo at 61¢ suggests they still see value here
  • The market is liquid and active, which makes this look like a deliberate price-value bet rather than random noise

$1,218 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 89%

92% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with a 92% win rate and $410k profit just put $13.4k into Mandel Nallo, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $410k across 172 settled positions
  • They have made profitable bets across 115 events and just committed $13.4k on Mandel Nallo
  • They bought at 61¢, suggesting they see the true win chance meaningfully above the current price

$13,397 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 92%

89% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with an exceptional 89% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh $2.6k position on Mandel Nallo at 63¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their resolved trades with a strong record across 61 bets
  • They are up nearly $20k and bought Mandel Nallo at 63¢, showing clear conviction
  • The price is still near their entry with a tight 1¢ spread, making the trade easy to follow

$2,617 on Mandel Nallo | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x93fc...34b6 Outcome 10016563, $257,139 (31% win rate)
  2. 0x1975...f07b Outcome 10016563, $28,146 (33% win rate)
  3. 0x5555...2af1 Outcome 10016563, $25,597 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 10016563, $19,921 (51% win rate)
  5. 0xc7d4...ad20 Outcome 10016563, $13,732 (89% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10016563, $7,353 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xaf52...96ec Outcome 10016563, $6,465
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 10016563, $4,485
  9. 0x021c...232f Outcome 10016563, $3,657 (99% win rate)
  10. 0x8982...59fb Outcome 10016563, $3,240 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

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UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Jai Herbert" if Jai Herbert is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

43d ago

$20,588 on Mandel Nallo at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

43d ago

$1,067 on Mandel Nallo at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

43d ago

$1,218 on Jai Herbert at 40¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

43d ago

$1,206 on Mandel Nallo at 61¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

43d ago

$1,206 on Mandel Nallo at 61¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

44d ago

$1,977 on Mandel Nallo at 61¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

44d ago

$1,220 on Mandel Nallo at 61¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

44d ago

$1,218 on Mandel Nallo at 61¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

44d ago

$13,397 on Mandel Nallo at 61¢

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

45d ago

$2,617 on Mandel Nallo at 63¢

Related Theses