Part of: Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,007.

Categories: Primeira Liga, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor caught 17¢ move

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought FC Porto at 69¢ just before a sharp move to 86%, suggesting strong directional edge despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 2,004 resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 69¢, and the market jumped to 86% within minutes.
  • This wallet has traded 581 markets across 474 events, showing a repeatable multi-market edge.

$1,110 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp trio backing Porto

Three wallets piled into FC Porto Yes after a rapid price move, including two very large serial traders with strong long-term records, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have strong records, including one with a 73% win rate and $3.6M profit.
  • Three wallets bought the same side in a short window as Porto jumped 18 points.
  • They entered at 69¢, a fairly aggressive price that suggests conviction even in a liquid market.

$3,830 on Yes

Sharp bettor buying No

A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 77% win rate and strong edge is fading FC Porto at 32¢ during a major pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 292 resolved trades and is up about $670k lifetime
  • They bought No at 32¢, implying they see FC Porto as overpriced at current odds
  • Market volume is running 229x above normal, showing unusual attention around this match

$1,003 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with 5,217 resolved bets and $1.8M profit bought Yes into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a followable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has 5,217 resolved bets, wins 63% of them, and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across related markets and have done so across 183 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • This buy came during a 1451x volume spike, and the market was still liquid with a tight 1¢ spread at 69¢ entry.

$1,593 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

98% win-rate sports bettor

A nearly perfect high-volume sports bettor with a 98% win rate bought No at 31¢ into a huge pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $998k across 259 settled positions.
  • They trade heavily across 486 markets and 438 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought No at 31¢ during a 2812x volume spike, implying they see FC Porto win chances as overpriced.

$1,861 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Pro bettor in volume surge

A highly profitable serial sports trader with 2,001 resolved bets and $3.6M P&L bought Yes into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 2,001 resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 69¢ as volume ran 2,812x above normal just before the match.
  • The bet is sizable at $3.3k and follows a trader active across 577 related markets and 471 events.

$3,318 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

93% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $104k profit is buying FC Porto Yes at 71¢, making this a followable sharp-bettor signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $104k across $663k invested
  • They have bet 329 markets across 213 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager
  • They bought FC Porto at 71¢ in a fairly liquid market, signaling confidence even after a 19-point weekly move

$4,956 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

55-0 sharp bettor

A bettor with a perfect 55-for-55 record and strong edge just bought FC Porto Yes at 68¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor is 55 for 55 on resolved markets and has made about $52.5k profit
  • Their average winning entry is 57¢, so buying at 68¢ still suggests they see Porto as underpriced
  • The market is lightly traded with only $2.1k of 24h volume, so this $1.3k buy stands out

$1,336 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9c95...ed41 Outcome 88333738, $17,436 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 88333738, $7,893 (75% win rate)
  3. 0x84ad...bfb7 Outcome 88333738, $2,861 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x599e...c0f5 Outcome 88333738, $728
  5. 0xecb2...a30c Outcome 88333738, $521
  6. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 88333738, $500
  7. 0x04ec...8ac9 Outcome 88333738, $420
  8. 0x278f...5c17 Outcome 88333738, $403
  9. 0xa271...2727 Outcome 88333738, $332
  10. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 88333738, $255

Related Theses

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Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

ResolvedEstoril Praia vs. FC Porto$19,007 tracked8 signalsPrimeira LigaSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If FC Porto wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

39d ago

$1,110 on Yes at 69¢

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

40d ago

$3,830 on Yes at 69¢

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

40d ago

$1,003 on No at 32¢

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

40d ago

$1,593 on Yes at 69¢

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

40d ago

$1,861 on No at 31¢

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

40d ago

$3,318 on Yes at 69¢

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

40d ago

$4,956 on Yes at 71¢

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?

40d ago

$1,336 on Yes at 68¢

Related Theses