Part of: Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana
Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Cancun tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Francisco Comesana, scheduled for August 18, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with recent smart-money activity favoring Francisco Comesana; resolution is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,752.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor adding to Comesana
A highly experienced bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Francisco Comesana position at 30¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of 356 resolved trades and is up $127,836 lifetime.
- The wallet has identified value in Francisco Comesana at 30¢ despite the market pricing him as a 30% outcome.
- This is an addition to an existing $8,421 position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
$1,182 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 81%
Three-wallet tennis buying surge
Three wallets added roughly $8.5K to Pablo Llamas Ruiz as the price surged 23.5%, though their weak track records and existing positions temper the signal.
- Three wallets bought $8,543 of Pablo Llamas Ruiz, with the market moving from their entries toward 74%.
- The coordinated buying coincided with a sharp 23.5% one-day price increase and an 18.2x volume spike.
- The signal is tempered by existing positions and weak records: two wallets are deeply unprofitable, while the strongest is only roughly breakeven.
$8,543 on Pablo Llamas Ruiz
94% winner adds to Comesana
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate added $8,303 to Francisco Comesana despite the position moving against them, alongside a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades, with $186,581 in recorded profit across 81 positions.
- They added $8,303 to Francisco Comesana at 48¢ despite already holding $17,298 and the price falling to 34¢.
- The market saw a 65.8× volume spike, providing additional evidence of concentrated interest in the match.
$8,303 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 94%
86% winner scaling into Comesana
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial existing exposure added $9,480 to Francisco Comesana at an average price near 46%.
- This bettor has won 86% of 287 resolved positions and is up $1.36 million.
- They added $9,480 to Francisco Comesana, increasing an existing $20,537 position at an average entry near 46%.
- The trade spans 269 events, indicating a consistently active and successful cross-market bettor rather than a one-off wager.
$9,480 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 86%
Three sharp bettors adding Comesana
Three highly profitable bettors added $15.1K to Francisco Comesana, driving a 17-point move and creating a strong coordinated signal despite their existing positions.
- Three bettors with 78%–86% win rates and substantial lifetime profits all added to Francisco Comesana.
- The coordinated $15,103 buying surge helped move Comesana from roughly 33¢–47¢ entries toward 50¢.
- All three already held Comesana positions, so this is additional conviction rather than a brand-new thesis.
$25,717 on Francisco Comesana
Sharp bettor adding to Comesana
A highly experienced bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Francisco Comesana position at 30¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of 356 resolved trades and is up $127,836 lifetime.
- The wallet has identified value in Francisco Comesana at 30¢ despite the market pricing him as a 30% outcome.
- This is an addition to an existing $8,421 position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
$2,526 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 10526069, $20,537 (86% win rate)
- 0x8e88...b235 — Outcome 10526069, $17,298 (94% win rate)
- 0x1250...8f99 — Outcome 10526069, $12,851 (78% win rate)
- 0x2ed1...caa2 — Outcome 10526069, $8,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xf9d6...730a — Outcome 10526069, $3,469 (81% win rate)
- 0xafee...881e — Outcome 10526069, $3,001 (64% win rate)
- 0x5850...fdd9 — Outcome 10526069, $1,746 (53% win rate)
- 0xf148...0b4f — Outcome 10526069, $1,718 (74% win rate)
- 0x9767...1a16 — Outcome 10526069, $660 (66% win rate)
- 0xf42a...8470 — Outcome 10526069, $604
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