Part of: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians scheduled for May 10 at 1:40 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the game, with postponements keeping the market open until completion and a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,500 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 10 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,138.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large resolved history and strong profits bought Minnesota at 82¢, but the signal is only moderate because this is a liquid market and the trade size is small relative to volume.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 67% winners across 1,061 resolved bets and about $191k in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 51 events with $174k in similar event positioning.
  • Bought Minnesota at 82¢ before the market moved to 84¢, suggesting early alignment with current momentum.

$1,207 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 67%

97% sports winner on breakout

A highly successful sports wallet bought Minnesota amid a major odds breakout, though the entry is on a heavy favorite.

  • This bettor has won 70 of 72 resolved trades and is up about $6.1K lifetime.
  • Minnesota’s odds have surged 46 points in the last day, and this buy followed the breakout.
  • Entry at 89¢ is a heavy-favorite bet, so the edge is likely small but backed by a strong track record.

$1,753 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 97%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with a perfect 101/101 resolved record and extensive cross-market history bought Cleveland at 60%.

  • This bettor is 101-for-101 on resolved trades and is up $84.6K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 53 events with a perfect record, suggesting a strong repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Cleveland at 60¢ implies confidence despite the market already favoring them.

$1,678 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 100%

Serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports trader with a 76% resolved win rate is making a meaningful Cleveland bet in a very low-volume MLB market, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 221 resolved trades across 26 events.
  • The $1,500 Cleveland bet is larger than the market’s entire 24h volume of $954.
  • Entry at 59¢ suggests a modest edge versus the current 58% market price.

$1,500 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4f29...7a7e Minnesota Twins, $31,291 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x5268...135d Cleveland Guardians, $27,161 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x5b63...11a4 Cleveland Guardians, $22,896 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x0997...c9f6 Minnesota Twins, $22,451
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Minnesota Twins, $21,432 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x6fc4...c89d Minnesota Twins, $20,727 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x26b4...b8a9 Cleveland Guardians, $17,736 (41% win rate)
  8. 0xd48a...6e90 Cleveland Guardians, $12,123 (66% win rate)
  9. 0x5375...aeea Cleveland Guardians, $10,709 (44% win rate)
  10. 0x0e64...336d Cleveland Guardians, $10,000 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

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Red Sox beat Rays

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Guardians beat the Twins

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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

6dMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$6,138 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Minnesota Twins
100¢
Cleveland Guardians
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 10 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIN
5
18-23
Final
CLE
4
21-21
MIN +135CLE -163O/U 7Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
22,475
Price History — “Minnesota Twins
102¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

2h ago

$1,207 on Minnesota Twins at 82¢

82¢100¢18¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

2h ago

$1,753 on Minnesota Twins at 89¢

89¢100¢11¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

7h ago

$1,678 on Cleveland Guardians at 60¢

60¢0¢60¢

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

14h ago

$1,500 on Cleveland Guardians at 59¢

59¢0¢59¢

Related Theses

Twins vs Guardians Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter