Part of: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

This Polymarket market covers the May 21 MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $54,356 in smart money activity across 8 signals, including sharp bettor and contrarian cluster alerts. The market resolves to the winning team once the game is completed, with a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie.

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $296,656.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

80% winner backs favorite

Sharp serial sports trader with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L made a $9.1k buy on Toronto at 87¢.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $16.5k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 46 events with an 80% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They put $9.1k on Toronto at 87¢ as the market moved sharply toward the Blue Jays.

$9,147 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable cluster buying underdog

Five profitable, high-volume sports wallets clustered on Yankees, including two wallets with multi-million lifetime profits, despite the market moving sharply toward Toronto.

  • Five wallets are all taking the Yankees side for $14.4k total.
  • Two of the bettors are up $5.7M and $11.6M lifetime across large betting histories.
  • The Yankees are now cheaper than the cluster’s entries, trading around 12¢ after buys from 20–34¢.

$14,390 on New York Yankees

80% serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate added $10.5k to Toronto as the market surged sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $16.5k across nearly $978k invested.
  • They put $10.5k on Toronto, including a $9.1k buy at 87¢ after an earlier 68¢ entry.
  • Toronto has moved up 47 points in a day, with this trade contributing to a 19-point price jump.

$10,507 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor caught 25¢ move

Sharp 81% lifetime bettor bought Toronto at 55¢ alongside strong one-sided flow before the price jumped to 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $258,919 lifetime.
  • Seven wallets bought the same side for $51,532 total, showing strong one-way conviction.
  • They entered Toronto at 55¢ before it surged to 80¢, suggesting the edge may already be priced in.

$1,330 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven sports bettor in 7-wallet push

Sharp 80% lifetime wallet joined a 7-wallet one-sided Toronto push that has already moved the market sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $16.3K lifetime across 172 results.
  • Seven wallets bought the same side for $51.5K, creating a strong one-way signal.
  • They entered Toronto at 68¢ before the price moved to 80¢, showing the market followed this flow.

$1,360 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable whale with 7-wallet flow

A highly profitable, very active wallet joined a 7-wallet one-sided move that pushed Toronto from 64¢ to 80¢.

  • This bettor is up $11.6M lifetime across 2,434 resolved bets.
  • 7 wallets bought Toronto in the same window for $51.5k total.
  • The trade entered at 64¢ before Toronto moved to 80¢, showing strong market follow-through.

$1,726 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable contrarian cluster

Five historically profitable wallets bought the Yankees despite a strong market move toward Toronto, making this a notable but mixed contrarian sports signal.

  • Five wallets with long betting histories bought the Yankees for $14.2k, led by a $9.1k entry at 20¢.
  • The lead buyer is up $5.7M lifetime, and another wallet in the group is up $11.6M across resolved markets.
  • This is a contrarian setup: Toronto has moved sharply to 80¢ and larger opposing flow is also present.

$14,159 on New York Yankees

Proven bettor joins linked push

A proven profitable sports bettor joined a 7-wallet, $93k one-sided Toronto Blue Jays buy flow with linked-wallet corroboration and immediate price movement.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 803 resolved bets and is up $132,764 lifetime.
  • Seven wallets bought the same side for $93,333, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • They entered Toronto at 44¢ before the market moved to 55¢, a 14-point daily jump.

$1,736 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader put $13.1k on Toronto amid a major pre-game volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor has a large track record: 2,425 resolved bets and $11.6M in lifetime profit.
  • They put $13.1k on Toronto at 56¢ across five rapid buys.
  • The market saw a 128x pre-game volume spike and Toronto has moved up 13 points over the past day.

$13,063 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable sports whale

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with $11.6M lifetime P&L is taking a $15.2K Blue Jays position amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $11.6M across 2,425 resolved bets, with a 64% win rate.
  • They bought $15.2K of Toronto at 54–56¢, a meaningful position relative to $21K liquidity.
  • Market volume is surging 33x ahead of the game, and Toronto has already moved up 13.5 points today.

$15,214 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bff...fc26 Outcome 99595481, $300,000 (74% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 99595481, $86,254 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 99595481, $45,659 (59% win rate)
  4. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 99595481, $12,613 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x6853...5846 Outcome 99595481, $9,350 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x4379...2e16 Outcome 99595481, $6,000 (56% win rate)
  7. 0xa2e4...bf9d Outcome 99595481, $5,000 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x09af...9728 Outcome 99595481, $3,900 (99% win rate)
  9. 0x066e...ceb2 Outcome 99595481, $3,000 (55% win rate)
  10. 0x6b1e...65c1 Outcome 99595481, $2,250 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

3dToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees$296,656 tracked16 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for May 21 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TOR
2
23-27
Final
NYY
0
30-21
TOR +124NYY -149O/U 8.5
Venue
Yankee Stadium, Bronx
Attendance
40,249
Price History — “New York Yankees
63¢
56¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$9,147 on Toronto Blue Jays at 87¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$14,390 on New York Yankees at 23¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$10,507 on Toronto Blue Jays at 87¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$1,330 on Toronto Blue Jays at 55¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$1,360 on Toronto Blue Jays at 68¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$1,726 on Toronto Blue Jays at 64¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$14,159 on New York Yankees at 24¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$1,736 on Toronto Blue Jays at 44¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$13,063 on Toronto Blue Jays at 56¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$15,214 on Toronto Blue Jays at 56¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$2,151 on Toronto Blue Jays at 54¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$171,000 on New York Yankees at 57¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

3d ago

$2,223 on New York Yankees at 57¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

3d ago

$1,140 on New York Yankees at 57¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

3d ago

$15,748 on Toronto Blue Jays at 43¢

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

2d ago

$21,761 on Toronto Blue Jays at 48¢

Related Theses