Part of: Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Santos tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Juan Manuel La Serna, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 14, 2026 if delays occur. PolySpotter is tracking $4,409 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from a 91% win-rate tennis bettor and a profitable serial sports bettor.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,409.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
91% win-rate tennis bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with a 91% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Luis Guto Miguel at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $54,390 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 26 events, also hitting 91% of resolved positions.
- Entry at 71¢ suggests they see value despite Luis Guto Miguel already being the favorite.
$1,384 on Luis Guto Miguel | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfacing because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with 71% wins over 490 resolved markets buying Luis Guto Miguel, and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
- They bought Luis Guto Miguel at 69¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢.
- Their average winning entry is around 51¢, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced lines.
$3,025 on Luis Guto Miguel | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 91971549, $15,452 (48% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 91971549, $5,911 (73% win rate)
- 0xc531...f534 — Outcome 91971549, $4,028 (57% win rate)
- 0x7ce9...61e5 — Outcome 91971549, $3,679 (84% win rate)
- 0xde1d...44a6 — Outcome 91971549, $2,566 (60% win rate)
- 0x0c45...0ac6 — Outcome 91971549, $2,446 (23% win rate)
- 0x6eb7...a0f1 — Outcome 91971549, $1,102 (60% win rate)
- 0xe60a...a633 — Outcome 91971549, $699
- 0x88ff...78ae — Outcome 91971549, $658
- 0xb002...103d — Outcome 91971549, $600
Related Theses
FaZe defeat paiN in BO3
Covers 1 related market
