Part of: Will Yeet launch a token by ___?

Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Yeet will officially launch an actively and publicly tradable token by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, resolving after that deadline on January 1, 2027 UTC. Announcements alone do not count, and stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, or synthetic tokens are excluded. PolySpotter is tracking $1,018 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent sharp wallet activity on both YES and NO sides.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yeet officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Yeet will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Yeet (https://x.com/yeet), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,005.

Categories: Crypto, Yeet, Pre-Market, token launch

Notable Trades

Sharp funded cluster buying YES

A positive-P&L wallet with a 79% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes, with corroboration from a 3-wallet shared-funder cluster on a thin crypto-token market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $8.6K lifetime.
  • Three wallets sharing the same funder have been flagged together before, suggesting coordinated conviction.
  • Selling No at 70¢ is the same as buying Yes at 30¢ on a thin market with only $2K traded in 24h.

$1,018 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Sharp linked wallet buying NO

A profitable 79% win-rate wallet from a recurring funded cluster bought No on a thin token-launch market where project-specific information could matter.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up about $4.8k lifetime.
  • Three wallets share the same funder, and this cluster has been flagged repeatedly across prior runs.
  • The $1.4k buy is large versus the $2.2k liquidity, suggesting real conviction at 67¢.

$1,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Thin-market Yes conviction

Surface as a thin-market conviction bet: a wallet bought $1.6k Yes in a virtually untraded crypto token-launch market, though its track record is not profit-positive.

  • A $1.6k Yes buy landed in a market with almost no prior trading and $0 volume over the last day.
  • The trade is large relative to the roughly $3k liquidity, suggesting real conviction in a quiet market.
  • This wallet has won 92% of resolved bets, but its lifetime P&L is slightly negative, so the edge is not fully proven.

$1,586 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x73d2...f9b7 No, $300 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x758b...0a1c Yes, $149
  3. 0xad99...dbab Yes, $133
  4. 0xa3e2...fdf8 Yes, $87
  5. 0x6087...53c2 No, $57 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x618e...9981 Yes, $36
  7. 0x08b8...5692 No, $34
  8. 0xd069...3f6f No, $23
  9. 0x34a9...4cfd No, $22
  10. 0x05be...75a5 Yes, $20

Related Theses

Laso commitments stay under $3M

Covers 9 related markets

Neuralink stays below $52.5B

Covers 2 related markets

Databricks stays below $170B

Covers 1 related market

Extended skips Q4 token launch

Covers 2 related markets

OpenSea FDV stays below $100M

Covers 1 related market

FDV avoids middle range

Covers 2 related markets

BULK token launches soon

Covers 2 related markets

Solstice launches below $100M

Covers 4 related markets

Cambria token launches by September

Covers 2 related markets

Cap launches between $50M and $250M

Covers 2 related markets

Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?

162dWill Yeet launch a token by ___?$4,005 tracked3 signalsCryptoYeetPre-Markettoken launch
Yes
24¢
No
76¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yeet officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Yeet will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Yeet (https://x.com/yeet), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “No
83¢
72¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?

42d ago

$1,018 on Yes at 30¢

30¢24¢6¢

Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?

44d ago

$1,400 on No at 67¢

67¢76¢9¢

Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?

44d ago

$1,586 on Yes at 41¢

41¢24¢17¢

Related Theses