Part of: Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,614.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor exits before collapse

A highly profitable serial trader sold a large Ilbirs position at 86¢ before the outcome collapsed, with strong historical edge and substantial existing exposure.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 620 trades and is up $443,864, with a 26-point edge over implied odds.
  • They sold Ilbirs eSports at 86¢ after holding $11,429 of exposure, avoiding the subsequent collapse to near zero.
  • The trade came from a serial cross-market trader active across 68 events and 84 markets.

$1,164 on RE.Arise | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp cluster buying Ilbirs

Four wallets put $8,450 behind Ilbirs, including highly profitable bettors with strong long-term records, while the opposing price fell sharply.

  • Four wallets concentrated $8,450 on Ilbirs, including bettors with 76%–79% win rates across hundreds of resolved markets.
  • The buying coincided with a 14-point drop in RE.Arise’s price, reinforcing a strong move toward Ilbirs.
  • Most entries were around 45–46¢, but the market now implies Ilbirs near 73%; copying is only attractive up to 56¢.

$8,450 on Ilbirs eSports

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf3a...fbfd Outcome 74531221, $10,075 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xb621...03cf Outcome 74531221, $3,261 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x1d6f...789b Outcome 74531221, $1,762 (88% win rate)
  4. 0xe5bc...a013 Outcome 74531221, $1,087
  5. 0x9fe3...ca9d Outcome 74531221, $1,000 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xe1d3...b8de Outcome 74531221, $850
  7. 0xddb6...b9b3 Outcome 74531221, $667 (87% win rate)
  8. 0x7b03...d1f2 Outcome 74531221, $660
  9. 0x1747...4afc Outcome 74531221, $638 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x8342...6dc8 Outcome 74531221, $597 (77% win rate)

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Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: RE.Arise vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs$9,614 tracked2 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between RE.Arise and Ilbirs eSports in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 9 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RE.Arise" if RE.Arise win the match against Ilbirs eSports. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win the match against RE.Arise. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “RE.Arise
102¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

32d ago

$1,164 on RE.Arise at 14¢

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

33d ago

$8,450 on Ilbirs eSports at 46¢

Related Theses