Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,378.

Categories: Sports, PGA, PGA TOUR, Golf

Notable Trades

99% winner fades favorite

A 3-wallet cluster piled into Matt Fitzpatrick NO before a huge price move, led by one bettor with a 99% win rate and strong cross-market history.

  • One wallet in this cluster wins 99% of its bets and is up $143k across 113 resolved markets.
  • Three wallets lined up on the same side for $10.2k just before the market swung hard, with Matt Fitzpatrick Yes jumping 43 points.
  • They were buying No around 56-61¢ equivalent, which is far better than the current 18¢ price for No.

$10,238 on No

New wallet nailed golf spike

A 4-day-old wallet made a fresh $3k bet in a golf outright market during a major volume and price spike, and the trade now sits at 100%.

  • A 4-day-old wallet put about $3k into this market across 2 trades, a strong early-conviction signal.
  • The market saw a 54x volume spike and a 43-point price jump, showing fast money piled in behind the move.
  • The buy at 83¢ is already marked at 100¢, so this trader caught the late breakout correctly.

$3,002 on Yes

99% win-rate sharp

A bettor with an extraordinary 99% win rate and $143k profit is buying No at 57¢, a strong sharp-wallet signal even though the trade size itself is modest.

  • This bettor wins 112 of 113 resolved trades and is up $143k overall
  • They trade across 204 markets in 182 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought No at 57¢, implying a clear view that Matt Fitzpatrick is overpriced to win

$1,123 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

96% win-rate seller

A bettor with an exceptional 96% win rate sold Yes at 84¢, which converts to a buyable No position around 16¢ and is worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades with 130 wins in 135 resolved positions
  • They sold Yes at 84¢, which is equivalent to buying No around 16¢
  • The market has already moved hard today, up 62.5 points, so this trader may be fading an overreaction

$1,015 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 78174603, $19,547
  2. 0x7a5d...54db Outcome 78174603, $6,761 (51% win rate)
  3. 0xbfaf...7aff Outcome 33054897, $4,283 (41% win rate)
  4. 0xb6be...fcfe Outcome 33054897, $3,684
  5. 0x0f8e...3082 Outcome 78174603, $3,216
  6. 0x079a...3ef8 Outcome 78174603, $2,984
  7. 0x7858...a5ea Outcome 78174603, $2,500
  8. 0xa2c9...2c23 Outcome 33054897, $2,500 (77% win rate)
  9. 0xe411...04c5 Outcome 78174603, $2,241
  10. 0x16cb...2704 Outcome 78174603, $2,113 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Resolved$15,378 tracked4 signalsSportsPGAPGA TOURGolf

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 RBC Heritage tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the RBC Heritage tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the RBC Heritage tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 26, 2026 at 2:00AM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Price History — “Yes
102¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

5h ago

$10,238 on No at 59¢

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

5h ago

$3,002 on Yes at 83¢

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

5h ago

$1,123 on No at 57¢

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

6h ago

$1,015 on No at 16¢

Related Theses

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | PolySpotter