29 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $219k in Yes exposure. Four wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this side. This wallet is profitable so far, up $9.9k on $52k invested, but Yes has fallen from its 46¢ entry to about 16¢.

Part of: Brazil vs. Japan

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $881,981.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

29-wallet YES push

Strong coordinated Yes buying from 29 wallets and a linked 4-wallet funder cluster makes this worth surfacing, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

29 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $219k in Yes exposure.
Four wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this side.
This wallet is profitable so far, up $9.9k on $52k invested, but Yes has fallen from its 46¢ entry to about 16¢.

$1,194 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Elite sports bettor fading Brazil

Elite sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.5M profit bought $10k of Brazil No at 43¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.53M lifetime.
They have traded across 277 events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
A $10k buy on No at 43¢ implies they see Brazil as meaningfully overrated.

$5,756 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

90% winner joins Yes flow

Sharp 90% win-rate wallet bought Brazil Yes alongside a large 42-wallet one-sided flow and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 90% of resolved bets and is up $109k lifetime.
42 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling $321k in the same direction.
They entered at 23¢ before the price moved to 36¢, showing the market has already followed this trade.

$3,631 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable new whale plus cluster

A highly profitable repeat new whale bought Brazil Yes, backed by 39-wallet same-side flow and a major pre-event volume spike despite the market moving sharply against the entry.

This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and is up $4.69M lifetime.
It has been repeatedly flagged for large bets, with $2.13M total across 24 alerts.
39 wallets are also buying the same side, totaling nearly $199K in Brazil Yes flow.

$16,765 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp joins 39-wallet Yes flow

Sharp 80% lifetime winner joined a large one-sided Yes flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $156,866 lifetime.
39 wallets pushed the same Yes direction with nearly $199k in combined buying.
Volume spiked 19.6x, but the market has since moved against them with No now at 78¢.

$1,598 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

96% winner joined No wave

Elite 96% win-rate wallet bought No alongside a large 20-wallet one-sided wave, with the market already moving sharply from 46¢ to 72¢.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $47k lifetime.
20 wallets are all buying No, totaling $193k in the same direction.
They entered No at 46¢ before it moved to 72¢, showing the flow was early and impactful.

$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

94% winner joins No wave

Elite 94% win-rate sports bettor bought No alongside heavy one-sided flow, and the market has already moved sharply in that direction.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $295k lifetime.
20 wallets bought the same side, totaling $194k of No bets.
They entered No at 45¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢.

$1,249 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

78% winner fading Brazil

A highly profitable 78% winner exited/faded Brazil before a major price drop, alongside heavy one-sided No flow from 20 wallets.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.38M lifetime.
They sold Brazil Yes at 53¢ before the market fell to 28¢.
20 wallets are all betting No, totaling about $194K in the same direction.

$28,601 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp joins 50-wallet push

A proven 86% winner is buying Yes alongside a large 50-wallet one-sided push and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $63K lifetime.
50 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $557K in the scan window.
This is a serial cross-market trader with 48 events tracked and an 86% win rate.

$1,076 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

50-wallet Yes cluster

High-conviction one-sided flow: 50 wallets bought Yes for $556k alongside major pre-event volume spikes, though this specific wallet has a weak long-term record and mixed trades.

50 wallets are all betting the same way, with $556k flowing into Yes.
Four wallets share a funder, adding coordination weight to the one-sided move.
Yes is now around 52¢, below this wallet’s 55¢ Yes entry.

$23,199 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 98220968, $2,716,748
0x86d2...731d — Outcome 98220968, $429,458 (90% win rate)
0x7225...659a — Outcome 98220968, $404,095 (93% win rate)
0x37e0...024e — Outcome 98220968, $399,993 (71% win rate)
0x9ee8...89de — Outcome 98220968, $313,574 (74% win rate)
0xa8a5...122b — Outcome 98220968, $186,813 (65% win rate)
0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 98220968, $129,750 (97% win rate)
0x8b32...5950 — Outcome 98220968, $109,609 (43% win rate)
0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 98220968, $109,175 (80% win rate)
0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 98220968, $100,000 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Celtic fail to win

Covers 1 related market

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

ResolvedBrazil vs. Japan$881,981 tracked50 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 29, 2026 If Brazil wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”