Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach $120,000 at any point by December 31, 2026. It resolves to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle records a final high at or above $120,000 during the market window, and otherwise resolves to No. Traders use this market to track live prediction market odds on a major long-term BTC price milestone ahead of the January 1, 2027 resolution.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $12,859.
Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
Perfect-record BTC contrarian
A perfect-record wallet made three sizable buys on the No side across related BTC price markets, dominating thin 24h volume and paying 84-90¢ for a long-dated outcome they likely view as overpriced on Yes.
- This bettor is 9 for 9 on resolved markets and is up money overall.
- They put $12.9k into the same BTC thesis across 2 related markets, including bets bigger than the market's full 24h volume.
- They bought No at 84-90¢ while No now trades at 80¢, showing willingness to size up on a long-dated crypto view.
$12,859 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x744c...e37f — No, $36,094 (78% win rate)
- 0xd0f1...6712 — No, $22,969
- 0xdf25...3b7f — No, $14,781
- 0x6131...fd16 — No, $14,463 (44% win rate)
- 0xc93c...52f1 — Yes, $11,708 (51% win rate)
- 0x3283...1da9 — Yes, $10,899
- 0xa8b3...4484 — Yes, $10,219
- 0xcc50...4c82 — Yes, $10,044 (40% win rate)
- 0xd8c6...9211 — Yes, $10,000
- 0x9e9a...a9a8 — No, $8,336 (93% win rate)
