Part of: Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxl

Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxl

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,427.

Notable Trades

97% winner adds to Holmgren

A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate added to an existing August Holmgren position despite a sharp market decline.

This bettor has won 125 of 129 resolved bets, with $195,875 in lifetime profit and a 27% edge over implied odds.
The wallet added $1,000 to August Holmgren after the price fell from its 50¢ entry toward 38¢, increasing an existing $4,174 position.
The trader has positioned across 73 markets and 72 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.

$1,000 on August Holmgren | Wallet win rate: 94%

99% winner bought Draxl early

A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate bought Liam Draxl at 75¢ before the market moved to 88¢.

This bettor has won 1,052 of 1,064 resolved bets and earned $671,032 in profit.
They bought Liam Draxl at 75¢, while the market now prices him at 88%.
The $2,167 position gained support from a sharp 24.5-point price move in under four minutes.

$2,167 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 99%

Three-wallet Draxl buying cluster

Three wallets deployed $9.2K on Liam Draxl while the outcome rose roughly 17 percentage points, creating a meaningful coordinated sports-betting signal despite limited proven edge.

Three wallets committed $9,175 to Liam Draxl, with the buying helping drive his odds from roughly 63% to 80%.
The largest bettor has 3,632 resolved wins and nearly $960K in lifetime profit, although its historical results do not show a clear edge over its typical entry prices.
Two wallets were adding to existing Liam Draxl positions, indicating increased conviction rather than entirely fresh exposure.

$9,175 on Liam Draxl

Profitable serial bettor adds to Holmgren

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate is adding to an existing Holmgren position at 48¢ amid a sharp price move and volume spike.

This bettor has won 71% of 207 resolved trades and is up $279,274 lifetime.
They are adding $1,054 to an existing $10,369 Holmgren position at 48¢, showing continued conviction.
Holmgren’s price jumped 17 percentage points in two minutes alongside a 33x volume spike.

$1,054 on August Holmgren | Wallet win rate: 59%

89% winner adds to Draxl

A proven serial trader with an 89% win rate is adding heavily to Liam Draxl amid a 72x volume spike and sharp price movement.

This bettor has won 89% of 66 resolved trades and is up $105,435.
They are adding $14,857 to an existing Liam Draxl position at 72¢, showing continued conviction.
Trading activity was 72x the historical average, while Liam Draxl's price moved sharply in a thin 1¢ spread market.

$14,857 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven sharp backs Liam Draxl

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $2,330 position on Liam Draxl at even odds.

This bettor wins 78% of 240 resolved positions and is up $644,205 lifetime.
The wallet has beaten implied odds by 31 percentage points on average, making the 50¢ Liam Draxl entry notable.
The $2,330 trade is a fresh directional position from a serial trader active across 399 events.

$3,554 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven sharp backs Liam Draxl

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $2,330 position on Liam Draxl at even odds.

This bettor wins 78% of 240 resolved positions and is up $644,205 lifetime.
The wallet has beaten implied odds by 31 percentage points on average, making the 50¢ Liam Draxl entry notable.
The $2,330 trade is a fresh directional position from a serial trader active across 399 events.

$2,330 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 77%

96% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge placed a fresh $13.6K bet amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 65 of 68 resolved positions, with $2.5M in lifetime profit and a 42-point edge over average odds.
They placed a fresh $13,644 bet on Liam Draxl at 57¢, making this a meaningful directional position rather than routine position management.
Market activity is running at 1,521x its historical average, reinforcing the significance of the trade.

$13,644 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% win-rate bettor backs Draxl

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate made a fresh $28.6K concentrated bet on Liam Draxl amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 96% of 68 resolved positions and is up $2.5 million.
They placed two fresh buys totaling $28,644 on Liam Draxl at 57¢.
The market saw a 1,250x volume spike versus its recent average, reinforcing the directional move.

$28,644 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 95%

Perfect-record bettor adds to Holmgren

A proven 100% win-rate bettor with substantial edge is adding to an existing August Holmgren position at 46 cents.

This bettor has won all 38 resolved positions and is up $115,862.
They are adding $1,500 to an existing $7,668 Holmgren position at 46 cents.
The wallet has traded across 54 markets and 51 events, indicating an established repeatable approach.

$1,500 on August Holmgren | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 82062620, $22,493 (65% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 82062620, $20,138 (56% win rate)
0xef53...4591 — Outcome 82062620, $8,973 (94% win rate)
0xe1c0...ecf1 — Outcome 82062620, $6,945 (83% win rate)
0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 82062620, $5,161 (77% win rate)
0xc1a9...e2db — Outcome 82062620, $4,174 (94% win rate)
0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 82062620, $3,542 (79% win rate)
0xda5f...2e9b — Outcome 82062620, $2,332 (58% win rate)
0x9ab3...3044 — Outcome 82062620, $2,040
0x3453...8524 — Outcome 82062620, $1,818 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxl

ResolvedWinnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxl$81,427 tracked11 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Liam Draxl in the Winnipeg, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Liam Draxl”

102¢

73¢

43¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction