Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 3?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,781.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Serial 96% winner buying Yes
Serial cross-market trader with a 96% resolved-bet record is buying Yes at 85¢ after a sharp 1-day move toward that outcome.
- This bettor has won 96% of 986 resolved bets and is up $14.3K lifetime.
- They put $3.9K on Yes at 85¢, implying they still see value despite the market already pricing it as likely.
- Bitcoin Yes odds are up 23.5 points today, so this trade is aligned with strong market momentum.
$3,948 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
92% serial crypto winner
Profitable serial cross-market crypto trader bought Yes, though this is a modest-sized favorite bet and the price has moved against them since entry.
- This bettor has won 92% of 182 resolved bets and is up $45K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 46 events and $394K in similar positioning.
- They bought Yes at 86¢, while the market is now around 82¢.
$1,720 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$6,113 | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0xd519...932c — Outcome 21125224, $31,112 (18% win rate)
- 0x3885...ca77 — Outcome 21125224, $26,583 (55% win rate)
- 0xbeb6...c321 — Outcome 21125224, $8,035
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Outcome 21125224, $5,594 (60% win rate)
- 0x62bc...e6f0 — Outcome 21125224, $5,000
- 0xd3b8...341d — Outcome 21125224, $4,474
- 0x7b7b...845f — Outcome 21125224, $4,000
- 0xde6e...0169 — Outcome 21125224, $3,856 (53% win rate)
- 0x7acd...1086 — Outcome 21125224, $2,059
- 0x7dbb...c0ab — Outcome 21125224, $2,002
