Part of: AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $666,845.
Categories: Sports, Games, Ligue 1, Soccer
Notable Trades
Last-minute sports whale
A repeat-flagged wallet with early profitability placed an $81k live-sports bet on No less than a minute before resolution, ahead of a major move from 61¢ to 82¢.
- Placed $81k less than 1 minute before resolution on a live sports market.
- The wallet has won 4 of 5 resolved bets and is up about $2.5M on $6.3M invested.
- Entry at 61¢ has already moved to 82¢, showing strong immediate confirmation.
$81,318 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Last-minute profitable whale
Very large near-resolution No buying by a repeatedly flagged profitable wallet, reinforced by one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike in a live soccer market.
- This wallet is up $2.5M and put over $250K into this live match market near the end.
- Most of the buying came in the final 13 minutes, including $81K less than 1 minute before resolution.
- Three wallets pushed the same No side for about $241K during a 143x volume spike.
$252,629 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
$240K one-sided No flow
Strong one-sided flow with 3 wallets buying No for $240K during a major pre-event volume spike, though this specific wallet's track record is mixed.
- Three wallets are all buying No, totaling about $240K on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 143x versus its recent average, suggesting a sudden wave of positioning.
- This wallet is only modestly proven, but it is profitable overall with about $6K in gains on $351K invested.
$3,362 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%
Profitable whale-led No cluster
Three wallets, led by a highly profitable whale, bought $171.7K of No during a massive pre-event volume spike on a sports market.
- A whale with $2.5M profit is leading this move, buying over $167K of No around 60¢.
- Three wallets all bet the same way, totaling $171.7K and making up 61% of the market’s 24h volume.
- Market volume spiked 216x before the match, suggesting this is not routine activity.
$171,698 on No
Last-minute sports whale cluster
Large coordinated last-minute buy on AJ Auxerre Yes, led by a serial near-resolution bettor with strong lifetime profit despite the price moving against the entry.
- Three wallets bought $144K of Yes within the final 5 minutes, all at 40¢.
- One wallet has made 10 near-resolution bets and is up $211K lifetime.
- A 495x pre-game volume spike suggests unusual late money on this side.
$144,338 on Yes
98% sports sharp buying Yes
Elite 98% winner with a large sample and strong cross-market sports track record is buying AJ Auxerre Yes at 42¢.
- This bettor has won 98% of 1,105 resolved positions and is up $357,973 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 98% hit rate.
- Entry at 42¢ implies they see Auxerre as underpriced versus the market.
$1,064 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Elite sports bettor cluster
Three wallets are converging on AJ Auxerre Yes, led by a highly profitable 86% bettor with $2.1M P&L and extensive cross-market history.
- A bettor who wins 86% of resolved positions and is up $2.1M is buying Yes at 41¢.
- Three wallets put $8.5K on the same side, including one seller of No converting into the same Yes view.
- The lead bettor is a serial cross-market trader across 575 events with an 86% hit rate.
$8,474 on Yes
Elite 86% sports bettor
Elite high-volume sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $2.06M profit is buying AJ Auxerre Yes at 41¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $2.06M lifetime.
- They have a huge sample size: 1,012 resolved positions with a strong edge versus market odds.
- This is a serial sports trader with $5.46M deployed across 574 events.
$3,962 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xbee5...a636 — Outcome 38152846, $750,278 (88% win rate)
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 38152846, $25,575 (49% win rate)
- 0x1350...0841 — Outcome 38152846, $12,250 (91% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 38152846, $4,031 (72% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 38152846, $3,200 (86% win rate)
- 0xc079...8acc — Outcome 38152846, $2,460 (97% win rate)
- 0x374a...03ed — Outcome 38152846, $2,400 (95% win rate)
- 0xe1a6...d584 — Outcome 38152846, $1,400 (93% win rate)
- 0x28dc...a1f2 — Outcome 38152846, $1,200 (69% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 38152846, $1,078 (89% win rate)
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