Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Natus Vincere and GamerLegion in the IEM Atlanta Group B upper bracket semifinal. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected around May 13, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $25,812 in smart money across 8 signals, including activity on both the favorite and underdog.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and GamerLegion in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $134,486.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New whale fading underdog

Brand-new repeat-flagged wallet took a large CS2 position against GamerLegion amid a major pre-event volume spike and rapid price movement, though there is no resolved track record yet.

  • A wallet less than 1 hour old has already made $7.6K in flagged bets, suggesting concentrated early conviction.
  • This trade effectively backs Natus Vincere at 61¢ while the market now shows them around 78%.
  • Market activity spiked 32x before the match, with fast price movement and over $715K traded today.

$4,771 on Natus Vincere

Experienced wallets on underdog swing

Three experienced wallets pushed the market toward GamerLegion, with one direct buy at 43¢ and two Natus Vincere sells preceding a sharp move to 58¢.

  • Three wallets all moved the same way on GamerLegion, totaling $7.4K before the price jumped 12 points.
  • Two of the wallets are high-volume serial sports traders, with over $5M combined historical betting volume.
  • The best direct entry was 43¢, implying a strong underdog call before the market repriced to 58¢.

$7,384 on GamerLegion

Serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market esports trader with a strong 72% hit rate bought GamerLegion at 43%, though lifetime P&L is negative and the price has since moved against them.

  • This bettor has traded 151 events and wins 72% of resolved markets across 205 outcomes.
  • They have put over $1.5M into cross-market trades, suggesting this is an experienced event trader rather than a one-off bet.
  • The buy helped drive a fast 12-point move toward GamerLegion, though the market has since slipped from 43¢ to 40¢.

$1,708 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 72%

New wallet caught move

A brand-new wallet bought GamerLegion before a sharp move from 23¢ to 32¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike, though there is no proven wallet history yet.

  • A brand-new wallet put $2.8K on GamerLegion at 23¢, and the price has already moved to 32¢.
  • Market volume spiked 35x versus normal activity, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
  • This is a fresh wallet with no track record, so the signal is mainly timing and price movement rather than proven skill.

$2,844 on GamerLegion

Profitable esports market mover

Profitable high-volume esports trader sold Natus Vincere ahead of a fast 12.5-point move, aligning with a 35x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $154k lifetime across 2,400 resolved bets.
  • They sold Natus Vincere at 74¢ before the price quickly fell to 68¢.
  • A 35x volume spike and sharp price move suggest others are piling into the same GamerLegion side.

$1,068 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 59%

Proven esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with a 78% historical win rate bought Natus Vincere despite the market later moving against them, with supporting pre-event volume and price activity.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $8.5K lifetime.
  • Their 93-bet record beats typical odds by a wide margin, making the wallet itself the main signal.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 80¢ before a sharp move down; current 68¢ offers a cheaper entry than the original trade.

$1,600 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 78%

Serial esports sharp buying

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong 78% record bought Natus Vincere before the price moved up from 67% to 72%, alongside a notable pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $78k lifetime across more than $3.1M invested.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 108 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 67%, and the market has already moved to 72% with a 27.5x volume spike.

$3,722 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable sharp buying dip

Sharp esports bettor with a 76% record and strong lifetime profit bought Natus Vincere before the price rebounded from 67% to 72%.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $77.8K lifetime.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 67¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢.
  • The market saw a 27.5x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader attention before the match.

$1,464 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp cluster buying favorite

Five wallets bought $22.8K of Natus Vincere into a sharp pre-event move, including multiple profitable bettors with strong resolved records and serial cross-market histories.

  • Five wallets bought $22.8K on the same side, pushing Natus Vincere from 66–67¢ to 72¢.
  • Two bettors stand out: one wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $36K, another wins 76% and is up $78K.
  • The market saw a 42x volume spike before the match, with several serial esports traders joining the same direction.

$22,793 on Natus Vincere

Profitable serial underdog bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought the GamerLegion underdog alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 72% of resolved trades and is up $45,945 lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought GamerLegion in the same window for $12,214 total.
  • Market volume spiked 31.8x before the match, suggesting unusual attention on this underdog.

$4,000 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5966...f804 GamerLegion, $104,763 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x47a8...52f9 Natus Vincere, $81,500 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xcf60...a6f5 GamerLegion, $25,424 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x30c7...ac3b Natus Vincere, $21,484 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x0e1b...ecaf GamerLegion, $19,946 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x29b5...cc6c Natus Vincere, $16,618 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x1341...0853 GamerLegion, $16,311 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x14f1...4a46 Natus Vincere, $15,169 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x67bb...b6ef GamerLegion, $15,000 (63% win rate)
  10. 0xadfa...324e GamerLegion, $13,862 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

3hCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$134,486 tracked27 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Natus Vincere
100¢
GamerLegion
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and GamerLegion in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
102¢
83¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

23m ago

$4,771 on Natus Vincere at 61¢

61¢100¢39¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

26m ago

$7,384 on GamerLegion at 43¢

43¢0¢43¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

37m ago

$1,708 on GamerLegion at 43¢

43¢0¢43¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

50m ago

$2,844 on GamerLegion at 23¢

23¢0¢23¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

50m ago

$1,068 on GamerLegion at 26¢

26¢0¢26¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

50m ago

$1,600 on Natus Vincere at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$3,722 on Natus Vincere at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$1,464 on Natus Vincere at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$22,793 on Natus Vincere at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$4,000 on GamerLegion at 34¢

34¢0¢34¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$1,560 on GamerLegion at 33¢

33¢0¢33¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

23m ago

$13,790 on GamerLegion at 58¢

58¢0¢58¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$2,312 on Natus Vincere at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$13,285 on Natus Vincere at 66¢

66¢100¢34¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$2,000 on GamerLegion at 36¢

36¢0¢36¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

1h ago

$1,030 on GamerLegion at 11¢

11¢0¢11¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$1,600 on Natus Vincere at 86¢

86¢100¢14¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$5,488 on Natus Vincere at 74¢

74¢100¢26¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$23,428 on GamerLegion at 26¢

26¢0¢26¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$4,970 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

3h ago

$2,900 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

7h ago

$1,488 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

7h ago

$1,500 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

7h ago

$2,310 on Natus Vincere at 75¢

75¢100¢25¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

8h ago

$1,500 on Natus Vincere at 75¢

75¢100¢25¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

13h ago

$1,191 on Natus Vincere at 73¢

73¢100¢27¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

13h ago

$2,780 on Natus Vincere at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

Related Theses