Part of: "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,931.
Categories: Movies, Culture, box office, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
76% winner fading favorite
Despite a weak automated signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a strong 112-bet track record and is taking the contrarian No side against a 79% market price.
- This bettor has won 76% of 112 resolved bets and is up $36k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying No around 23¢ while the market still prices Yes near 79%.
- The bet goes against recent market consensus after Yes fell 14 points in the past day.
$1,301 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable serial contrarian
A prolific profitable cross-market trader is taking a contrarian No position against the market consensus on the Backrooms opening-weekend box office threshold.
- This bettor is up $73.7k across 1,337 resolved bets.
- They are taking the unpopular No side at 12¢ while the market heavily favors Yes.
- This wallet has traded 468 markets across 280 events, suggesting a broad repeatable strategy.
$1,054 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 875 resolved bets and $745k lifetime profit bought nearly $9.6k of Yes at 90¢.
- This bettor has won 69% of 875 resolved bets and is up $745k lifetime.
- They have traded across 92 events with over $1.0M in recent cross-market activity.
- A $9.6k buy at 90¢ shows strong conviction despite the market already pricing Yes as likely.
$9,593 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 875 resolved bets is making a sizable Yes bet in a relatively small box-office market.
- This bettor is up $745K lifetime across 875 resolved bets.
- They have traded 139 markets across 92 events, with over $1.0M in flagged cross-market volume.
- The $5.3K Yes buy is nearly half of this market’s total volume, showing meaningful conviction.
$5,305 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial forecaster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor put $10.7k on Yes in a thin box-office market, making up nearly 80% of recent volume.
- This bettor has won 69% of 875 resolved bets and is up $745k lifetime.
- They put $10.7k on Yes, roughly 80% of the market’s recent volume.
- Their average entry was about 87¢, while the market is now around 84¢.
$10,678 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11301647, $40,883
- 0xbbc8...7927 — Outcome 11301647, $36,363
- 0xac26...06ff — Outcome 11301647, $8,900
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 11301647, $6,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x1692...a90e — Outcome 11301647, $2,079
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 11301647, $1,972
- 0xdb71...10cd — Outcome 11301647, $1,915
- 0xb413...1cb7 — Outcome 11301647, $1,530
- 0x5095...93ee — Outcome 11301647, $1,450 (52% win rate)
- 0xecb2...a30c — Outcome 11301647, $1,434
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