Part of: Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda

Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,224.

Notable Trades

Proven sharp adding to Paul

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $480,199 profit added $5,000 to an existing Paul Inchauspe position despite the market moving lower.

This bettor wins 84% of trades across 190 resolved positions and is up $480,199.
They added $5,000 to Paul Inchauspe, increasing an existing position despite the price falling to 54%.
The market also saw a 19.9× volume spike, adding support to the significance of the move.

$5,000 on Paul Inchauspe | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable cluster bought Koki early

Three wallets, including a highly profitable bettor, aligned on Koki Matsuda before a sharp repricing from roughly 33-41% to 74%.

Three wallets put $5,675 behind Koki Matsuda, with entries at 33¢-41¢ before the market moved to 74%.
The largest bettor wins 82% of 163 resolved trades and is up $727,125 lifetime.
A 19x volume spike and a coordinated shift away from Paul strengthen the directional signal.

$5,675 on Koki Matsuda

Four-wallet Paul Inchauspe conviction

Four profitable wallets bought Paul Inchauspe, driving a 22-point price surge, including an 82% win-rate bettor adding to an existing position.

An 82% winner across 120 resolved bets bought Paul Inchauspe at 75¢ and added to an existing position.
Four wallets committed $4,549 in the same direction, with purchases around 52–53¢ driving the price up 22 percentage points.
The coordinated buying is notable despite the market already pricing Paul at about 70%.
copy_action

$4,549 on Paul Inchauspe

Top Holders

0xbf00...1199 — Outcome 50198998, $16,945 (94% win rate)
0xf9d6...730a — Outcome 50198998, $12,215 (81% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 50198998, $11,594 (65% win rate)
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 50198998, $2,931 (57% win rate)
0x5b57...de6b — Outcome 50198998, $1,204 (73% win rate)
0xb6f8...df87 — Outcome 50198998, $1,136 (82% win rate)
0x9698...2504 — Outcome 50198998, $632 (91% win rate)
0xe89c...9c72 — Outcome 50198998, $521 (82% win rate)
0x571f...1d37 — Outcome 50198998, $438 (59% win rate)
0xa34f...1cfa — Outcome 50198998, $403

Related Theses

Argentina advances in nail-biter

Covers 3 related markets

Spain edges Belgium in low scorer

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina advances past Switzerland

Covers 1 related market

Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda

ResolvedIstanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda$15,224 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesTennis

This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Inchauspe and Koki Matsuda in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Inchauspe' if Paul Inchauspe advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Paul Inchauspe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Koki Matsuda”

60¢

40¢

21¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction