Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,602.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Liga MX

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Guadalajara buy cluster

Three wallets totaling $7,045 positioned for Guadalajara to win, including two profitable bettors, though much of the flow appears to be position rotation rather than fresh conviction.

Three wallets moved $7,045 toward Yes, with two selling No at implied Yes prices around 42–43¢.
Two participants have profitable records: 61% wins with $70,227 profit and 64% wins with $34,507 profit.
The main Yes buyer entered at 35¢, but prior positions and the market’s 24% daily decline make this a cautious signal.

$7,045 on Yes

Four linked wallets buying No

Four linked wallets concentrated $5,153 on No before the market moved from roughly 67% to 74%, providing a meaningful coordinated directional signal.

Four wallets tied to two funders concentrated $5,153 on No, a strong coordinated signal.
Their entries around 65–67¢ preceded No rising to 74%, while the market’s Yes price fell 33% in a day.
One participant has a 62% win rate across 61 resolved bets and is up nearly $15,000.

$5,153 on No

Proven serial bettor buying No

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with 1,277 resolved trades bought No at 48 cents, and the outcome has since risen to 64 cents.

This bettor has won 78% of 1,277 resolved trades and earned $1.57 million.
They bought No at 48¢, while No now trades around 64¢ after a sharp Yes price decline.
The wallet has traded across 369 events and 392 markets, making this a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.

$1,404 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

96% winner adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding $1,000 to an existing No position at 40¢ despite the market pricing No at only 40%.

This bettor has won 64 of 67 resolved trades, with $71,412 in lifetime profit.
They added $1,000 to an existing No position at 40¢, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
The No price implies roughly a 40% chance, while this bettor’s 58% average winning entry price indicates a strong historical edge.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 59889377, $9,817 (85% win rate)
0xddb6...b9b3 — Outcome 59889377, $9,783 (87% win rate)
0x775d...6beb — Outcome 59889377, $9,333 (76% win rate)
0x629d...756c — Outcome 59889377, $7,758
0x57ef...044a — Outcome 59889377, $2,659 (87% win rate)
0xe6bf...16b9 — Outcome 59889377, $1,333 (92% win rate)
0xa7c2...73bf — Outcome 59889377, $1,200 (73% win rate)
0xb476...6eac — Outcome 59889377, $1,097 (65% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 62903013, $989
0xbe77...ef6c — Outcome 59889377, $847 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?

ResolvedClub Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara$14,602 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLiga MX

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 31, 2026 If CD Guadalajara wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

66¢

56¢

46¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction