Part of: Istanbul 3: Gabi Boitan vs Harold Mayot
Istanbul 3: Gabi Boitan vs Harold Mayot
This tennis prediction market covers the Istanbul 3 match between Gabi Boitan and Harold Mayot, scheduled for September 9, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with $7,065 in tracked smart money and recent sharp-bettor activity favoring both sides, especially Mayot.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,743.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Volume spike backs Mayot
A $6,065 Harold Mayot position coincided with a 125x volume spike and a 16.6-point price move, creating a meaningful momentum signal despite the wallet's mediocre win rate.
- A $6,065 buy on Harold Mayot coincided with a 125x surge over normal trading volume.
- Mayot's price rose 16.6 percentage points after the trades, from 88¢ to 92¢.
- The wallet has a large lifetime profit, but its 54% win rate is not strong standalone evidence of a sharp edge.
$6,065 on Harold Mayot | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp bettor scaling into Boitan
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate added to a Boitan position during a 298x volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $18,802 lifetime.
- The $1,000 purchase came during a 298x historical volume spike, suggesting notable event-driven conviction.
- The wallet already held Boitan at a 31¢ average, while the market has since fallen to roughly 12¢—a high-risk contrarian signal rather than a confirmed win.
$1,000 on Gabi Boitan | Wallet win rate: 93%
Three sharp bettors back Mayot
Three highly profitable bettors jointly bought Harold Mayot, including a 97% winner adding to an existing position, making this a strong coordinated tennis signal despite the price falling since entry.
- Three wallets deployed $7,423 on Harold Mayot, creating a concentrated one-sided position.
- The bettors have exceptional records: 84%, 94%, and 97% win rates across thousands of resolved positions.
- One 97% winner added to an existing Mayot position, while the group’s average entry was about 67¢ and the market has since fallen to 61¢.
$30,677 on Harold Mayot
97% winner scaling into Mayot
An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Harold Mayot position at 67%.
- This bettor has won 97% of 271 resolved positions and is up $366,879.
- The wallet typically wins at an average entry of 51%, indicating substantial edge beyond market-implied odds.
- This $1,001 purchase adds to an existing $5,440 Mayot position, signaling continued conviction despite recent price weakness.
$1,001 on Harold Mayot | Wallet win rate: 97%
86% win-rate serial tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with an 86% win rate made a fresh $1,000 bet on Harold Mayot despite subsequent price weakness.
- This bettor has won 86% of 567 resolved positions and earned $381,697 in profit.
- They made a concentrated $1,000 bet on Harold Mayot, whose price has since fallen from 47¢ to 42¢.
- The trade came from a serial cross-market bettor active across 79 markets, adding credibility beyond a one-off wager.
$1,000 on Harold Mayot | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x3f98...0aa1 — Outcome 74502876, $18,574 (82% win rate)
- 0xdc1a...bbb8 — Outcome 74502876, $3,226 (93% win rate)
- 0xa6de...256c — Outcome 74502876, $1,934
- 0xc367...a0b4 — Outcome 74502876, $1,931 (65% win rate)
- 0xa283...61e5 — Outcome 74502876, $1,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xa032...2090 — Outcome 74502876, $716 (67% win rate)
- 0xf651...d29b — Outcome 74502876, $516
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 74502876, $437 (71% win rate)
- 0xd062...e76f — Outcome 74502876, $242
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 74502876, $160 (60% win rate)
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