This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $763k lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader across 195 events with the same 87% hit rate. Market volume is surging 53x above normal, and this sharp wallet took No at 80¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $357,712 lifetime. They are a serial sports/event trader across 89 events with the same 94% hit rate. The market saw a 53x volume spike, and this sharp wallet entered No at 80¢.

Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,895.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Three-wallet YES push

Three wallets bought the same 20¢ Sweden Yes exposure during an 18.5x pre-event volume spike, including a high-volume profitable bettor up $432k lifetime.

Three wallets put $21.3k on the same side at 20¢.
Market activity is 18.5x above its normal pace, suggesting a real pre-game positioning surge.
The largest buyer has 46,090 resolved bets and is up about $432k lifetime.

$21,307 on Yes

Sharp 89% winner buys No

Sharp wallet override: bettor has an 89% record across 18 resolved bets with $160k profit and is buying No despite only a modest standalone signal.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $160k lifetime.
Their past bets beat market odds by a wide margin, winning at prices that averaged 61%.
They bought No at 81¢, signaling confidence Sweden does not win in regular time.

$1,166 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

87% winner buys No

A highly proven sports bettor with 87% win rate and $763k lifetime profit bought Sweden No at 80¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $763k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 195 events with the same 87% hit rate.
Market volume is surging 53x above normal, and this sharp wallet took No at 80¢.

$6,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

94% winner buying NO

Elite 94% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit is buying Sweden No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $357,712 lifetime.
They are a serial sports/event trader across 89 events with the same 94% hit rate.
The market saw a 53x volume spike, and this sharp wallet entered No at 80¢.

$1,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 74% record and $1.7M lifetime profit bought $10.5k of Sweden Yes at 21¢.

This bettor has won 74% of 221 resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with nearly $7.0M deployed across 451 markets.
Entry at 21¢ implies they see Sweden as a roughly 4.8x payout opportunity.

$10,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable new wallet repeat

New repeat large-bet wallet with early profit is taking a fresh $3k Sweden Yes position at 21¢ before the match.

This new bettor has already made 3 large flagged bets totaling $8.4k.
The wallet is up $1.9k on its only resolved trade so far.
Fresh $3k buy at 21¢ implies they see Sweden as underpriced.

$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Repeat new wallet buyer

Repeat new wallet is adding a $3.1k Yes position at 21¢ after $11.5k in flagged bets and early realized profit, though the market is liquid and track record is still very limited.

This new wallet has now been flagged 5 times, with $11.5k in notable bets placed so far.
The wallet is already up $1.9k on its only resolved bet, though the track record is still very small.
Entry at 21¢ implies a roughly 4.8x payout if this side wins.

$3,055 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable new wallet repeat

New repeat large-bet wallet with early profit is taking a fresh $3k Sweden Yes position at 21¢ before the match.

This new bettor has already made 3 large flagged bets totaling $8.4k.
The wallet is up $1.9k on its only resolved trade so far.
Fresh $3k buy at 21¢ implies they see Sweden as underpriced.

$1,655 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record serial sports bettor

Sharp serial sports bettor with a 44/44 resolved record bought $5.2k of No at 80¢, supported by cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 44 of 44 resolved trades and is up $13.8k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with a perfect resolved record.
A $5.2k buy at 80¢ says they strongly favor Sweden not winning in regular time.

$5,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Six-wallet contrarian cluster

A six-wallet cluster put $39k on Sweden Yes at 20¢ with cross-market event positioning, though the trade is now deeply underwater at 8¢.

Six wallets all backed the same long-shot outcome with $39k at 20¢.
Two major participants have strong lifetime profits, including one up $431k and another up $292k.
The broader event saw $99k of related positioning and a 21x volume spike, but the market has since moved against them to 8¢.

$39,307 on Yes

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 47563123, $531,586
0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 40679081, $128,299 (60% win rate)
0xcd9c...1a9b — Outcome 40679081, $112,065
0x5b6e...f544 — Outcome 40679081, $100,000 (87% win rate)
0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 40679081, $52,756 (44% win rate)
0x3a40...f29e — Outcome 40679081, $50,423 (67% win rate)
0xdb85...152f — Outcome 40679081, $50,000 (74% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 40679081, $46,321 (64% win rate)
0x99b6...347e — Outcome 40679081, $46,131 (100% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 47563123, $45,208 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

ResolvedNetherlands vs. Sweden$139,895 tracked23 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026 If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”