Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
This Polymarket-style Bitcoin Up or Down market asks whether the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 3:30AM ET on June 17 will be greater than or equal to its price at 3:15AM ET. It resolves to "Up" if BTC is flat or higher over the 15-minute window, and "Down" if it is lower. PolySpotter is tracking $1,692 in smart money activity, including one signal from a 90% win-rate BTC bettor.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,692.
Categories: Up or Down, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M, Crypto Prices
Notable Trades
90% win-rate BTC bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down at an even-money entry despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor has won 35 of 39 resolved bets and is up $9,685 lifetime.
- They put $1,692 on Down at 50¢, an even-money entry in a short BTC direction market.
- The bet is large for this market, representing about half of reported total volume.
$1,692 on Down | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x813f...20f7 — Up, $3,384
- 0x0cc9...b3b4 — Down, $3,384 (90% win rate)
- 0x8380...b151 — Down, $100
- 0x22c7...d814 — Up, $87
- 0x21d0...e8d7 — Down, $79
- 0x824c...e309 — Up, $65
- 0xc77c...05c5 — Up, $60
- 0xee65...cfc9 — Down, $58 (65% win rate)
- 0x6f39...5030 — Up, $39
- 0x80f7...939c — Up, $38
