Part of: United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $181,692.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
77% winner buying Under
Sharp sports wallet with a 77% record and $634k profit is buying Under, supported by one-sided flow from three wallets.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $634k lifetime.
- They bought $4.0k of Under at 40–44¢, below the current 47¢ price.
- Three wallets are all buying Under, totaling $16.3k on the same side.
$4,045 on Under | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable sports sharp on Under
Surface because a highly profitable 70% winner bought Under at 41¢ alongside one-sided flow from three wallets, and the price has already moved to 47¢.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $1.69M lifetime.
- They bought Under at 41¢, and the market has already moved to 47¢.
- Three wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $16.3K on Under.
$5,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
87% winner buying Over
A highly profitable 87% sports bettor is buying Over alongside one-sided market flow and a sharp 23-point price move.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $145,712 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 120 events with the same 87% hit rate.
- Four wallets bought Over together as volume spiked 13x and the price jumped 23 points.
$1,200 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Repeat new whale buying Over
A 5-day-old repeat large bettor is buying Over alongside one-sided flow, a 13x volume spike, and a sharp price move upward before the match.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts totaling $154,725.
- Four wallets are all buying Over, with $8,320 in same-direction flow.
- The market has jumped about 23 percentage points with a 13x pre-game volume spike.
$3,536 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%
New repeat sports whale
A 2-day-old repeat whale is buying Over into a major pre-game volume surge, though there is no resolved track record yet.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling $88K.
- They bought Over at 39¢ about two hours before kickoff, despite the market drifting slightly toward Under.
- Pre-game volume is running 149x above its historical pace, suggesting unusually strong positioning.
$2,613 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
92% winner buying Over
Surfaced because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate bought Over at 38¢ despite the market being liquid and slightly drifting down.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $77K lifetime.
- They bought Over at 38¢, implying a roughly 2.6x payout if the game has 3+ goals.
- The wallet has a large 273-bet track record, so the trader’s history is the main signal here.
$1,086 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp bettors buying Over
Surface because two proven profitable wallets with large resolved samples are buying Over despite the market pulling back, though opposing Under flow makes it less clean.
- Two proven bettors are on Over, including one who has won 680 of 680 resolved bets and another up $145K lifetime.
- One wallet is a serial cross-market trader with an 87% record across 381 resolved bets and 121 events.
- They paid 60–78¢ while Over now trades near 53¢, giving a cheaper entry than the sharp buyers got.
$6,417 on Over
Profitable sharps buying Under
Four profitable sports bettors, including multiple high-volume winners, are collectively taking Under for $36k despite the market moving toward Over.
- Four wallets put $36k on Under, with several long-term profitable bettors in the group.
- One bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $634k lifetime; another is up $1.69M.
- Latest sharp entries are around 40–41¢, implying they think the market has overreacted toward Over.
$36,034 on Under
Profitable whale event cluster
Surfacing because a very high-volume profitable wallet is buying Over as part of a linked, cross-market event position despite this single trade being modest.
- This high-volume bettor is up $1.3M lifetime across 77,751 resolved trades.
- Linked wallets share a funder and have $11.7k positioned on this event.
- The wallet has traded $37k across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader view on the match.
$1,278 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable funded cluster
A highly profitable, high-volume bettor in a 3-wallet funded cluster is re-entering Under with coordinated cross-market positioning on the same match.
- This bettor is up $1.3M lifetime across 77,728 resolved trades.
- Three wallets funded by the same source have put $37,555 behind the same event thesis.
- They are re-entering Under at 62¢ after previously holding a larger Under position around 59¢.
$3,197 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0xbc43...96d3 — Outcome 67335715, $111,234 (68% win rate)
- 0x4064...f741 — Outcome 31819179, $65,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 31819179, $50,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x9a4f...3dc3 — Outcome 31819179, $46,234 (50% win rate)
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 31819179, $41,000 (74% win rate)
- 0x38f0...2768 — Outcome 31819179, $37,824 (93% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 31819179, $12,913 (77% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 31819179, $12,052 (76% win rate)
- 0xeab2...b0ef — Outcome 31819179, $10,000
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 31819179, $7,000 (84% win rate)
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