Part of: United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $181,692.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

77% winner buying Under

Sharp sports wallet with a 77% record and $634k profit is buying Under, supported by one-sided flow from three wallets.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $634k lifetime.
  • They bought $4.0k of Under at 40–44¢, below the current 47¢ price.
  • Three wallets are all buying Under, totaling $16.3k on the same side.

$4,045 on Under | Wallet win rate: 57%

Profitable sports sharp on Under

Surface because a highly profitable 70% winner bought Under at 41¢ alongside one-sided flow from three wallets, and the price has already moved to 47¢.

  • This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $1.69M lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 41¢, and the market has already moved to 47¢.
  • Three wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $16.3K on Under.

$5,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%

87% winner buying Over

A highly profitable 87% sports bettor is buying Over alongside one-sided market flow and a sharp 23-point price move.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $145,712 lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 120 events with the same 87% hit rate.
  • Four wallets bought Over together as volume spiked 13x and the price jumped 23 points.

$1,200 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%

Repeat new whale buying Over

A 5-day-old repeat large bettor is buying Over alongside one-sided flow, a 13x volume spike, and a sharp price move upward before the match.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts totaling $154,725.
  • Four wallets are all buying Over, with $8,320 in same-direction flow.
  • The market has jumped about 23 percentage points with a 13x pre-game volume spike.

$3,536 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%

New repeat sports whale

A 2-day-old repeat whale is buying Over into a major pre-game volume surge, though there is no resolved track record yet.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling $88K.
  • They bought Over at 39¢ about two hours before kickoff, despite the market drifting slightly toward Under.
  • Pre-game volume is running 149x above its historical pace, suggesting unusually strong positioning.

$2,613 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

92% winner buying Over

Surfaced because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate bought Over at 38¢ despite the market being liquid and slightly drifting down.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $77K lifetime.
  • They bought Over at 38¢, implying a roughly 2.6x payout if the game has 3+ goals.
  • The wallet has a large 273-bet track record, so the trader’s history is the main signal here.

$1,086 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettors buying Over

Surface because two proven profitable wallets with large resolved samples are buying Over despite the market pulling back, though opposing Under flow makes it less clean.

  • Two proven bettors are on Over, including one who has won 680 of 680 resolved bets and another up $145K lifetime.
  • One wallet is a serial cross-market trader with an 87% record across 381 resolved bets and 121 events.
  • They paid 60–78¢ while Over now trades near 53¢, giving a cheaper entry than the sharp buyers got.

$6,417 on Over

Profitable sharps buying Under

Four profitable sports bettors, including multiple high-volume winners, are collectively taking Under for $36k despite the market moving toward Over.

  • Four wallets put $36k on Under, with several long-term profitable bettors in the group.
  • One bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $634k lifetime; another is up $1.69M.
  • Latest sharp entries are around 40–41¢, implying they think the market has overreacted toward Over.

$36,034 on Under

Profitable whale event cluster

Surfacing because a very high-volume profitable wallet is buying Over as part of a linked, cross-market event position despite this single trade being modest.

  • This high-volume bettor is up $1.3M lifetime across 77,751 resolved trades.
  • Linked wallets share a funder and have $11.7k positioned on this event.
  • The wallet has traded $37k across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader view on the match.

$1,278 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable funded cluster

A highly profitable, high-volume bettor in a 3-wallet funded cluster is re-entering Under with coordinated cross-market positioning on the same match.

  • This bettor is up $1.3M lifetime across 77,728 resolved trades.
  • Three wallets funded by the same source have put $37,555 behind the same event thesis.
  • They are re-entering Under at 62¢ after previously holding a larger Under position around 59¢.

$3,197 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4064...f741 Outcome 31819179, $65,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xa8e0...ad50 Outcome 31819179, $50,000 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x9a4f...3dc3 Outcome 31819179, $46,234 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xe653...c4a7 Outcome 31819179, $41,000 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x38f0...2768 Outcome 31819179, $37,824 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 31819179, $12,913 (77% win rate)
  7. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 31819179, $12,052 (78% win rate)
  8. 0xeab2...b0ef Outcome 31819179, $10,000
  9. 0x224f...514a Outcome 31819179, $7,000 (85% win rate)
  10. 0x95d4...3c50 Outcome 31819179, $6,226 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close

Covers 3 related markets

Spain Argentina or England wins

Covers 3 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Spain cruises to clean-sheet rout

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil wins by four plus

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Mito HollyHock will win

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

ResolvedUnited States vs. Paraguay - More Markets$181,692 tracked18 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Paraguay, scheduled for June 12 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if United States and Paraguay combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$4,045 on Under at 41¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$5,000 on Under at 41¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$1,200 on Over at 60¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$3,536 on Over at 61¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$2,613 on Over at 39¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$1,086 on Over at 38¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$6,417 on Over at 65¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$36,034 on Under at 40¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$1,278 on Over at 38¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$3,197 on Under at 62¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$2,732 on Under at 61¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$1,749 on Under at 61¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$6,689 on Under at 61¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$8,491 on Under at 61¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$22,804 on Under at 60¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$16,115 on Under at 60¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$56,458 on Under at 61¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

19d ago

$2,247 on Under at 59¢

Related Theses