Part of: Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA - More Markets
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,730.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Brazil Serie A
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Grêmio conviction cluster
Three wallets coordinated $20.3K into Grêmio at 64–69% during a 23.5x volume spike, and the outcome has since moved to 100%.
- Three wallets committed $20,330 to Grêmio, including one highly profitable bettor with $5.6M lifetime P&L.
- The trades represented roughly 30% of total market volume and arrived during a 23.5x volume spike.
- Grêmio moved from 64–69% to 100%, although the current price is too high to copy and the market may already be settled.
$20,330 on Grêmio FBPA
Whale adds to Grêmio position
A large $8.1K addition to an existing Grêmio position coincided with an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the bettor has only a modest historical edge.
- This bettor added $8,138 to an existing Grêmio position at 64¢, bringing their investment to roughly $20,854.
- The trade represented 739.5% of the detected 24-hour volume, while market activity spiked more than 2,300 times its recent average.
- The wallet is up $468,783 lifetime, but its 51% win rate makes this a flow-based signal rather than a proven sharp-bettor call.
$8,138 on Grêmio FBPA | Wallet win rate: 51%
92% win-rate bettor makes huge underdog bet
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate placed a large, fresh position in a thin market amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 92% of 206 resolved positions and earned over $3.1 million.
- The $6,966 wager is over six times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Red Bull Bragantino.
- The trade helped accompany a 12,841x pre-event volume spike while buying at just 36¢.
$6,966 on Red Bull Bragantino | Wallet win rate: 92%
Serial sports trader backs Grêmio
A highly active sports trader with a massive historical sample made a fresh $1,296 buy amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trader's win rate does not clearly exceed the average odds paid.
- This bettor has resolved 44,880 positions, a 71% win rate, and $5.66M in reported profit.
- A fresh $1,296 buy on Grêmio triggered a 12,841× pre-event volume spike in this lightly traded market.
- The entry at 64¢ implies roughly a 1.56× payout if Grêmio avoids a two-goal loss.
$1,296 on Grêmio FBPA | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xf5f9...87b0 — Outcome 10412200, $60,320 (92% win rate)
- 0x56ac...d77e — Outcome 57889692, $12,716 (51% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 10412200, $1,090 (65% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 10412200, $1,015 (70% win rate)
- 0x50e5...e39f — Outcome 57889692, $200
- 0xe368...e9ed — Outcome 10412200, $145
- 0xda77...683f — Outcome 10412200, $88
- 0xeeaa...15ce — Outcome 10412200, $81
- 0x3a72...c2a0 — Outcome 10412200, $55
- 0xc8c8...b949 — Outcome 10412200, $39
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